Set 1 Winner: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo Arnaldi
Historical decision record
Market resolved · outcome YES. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.
Resolution & market truth
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
•This market will resolve to “Cameron Norrie” if Cameron Norrie wins the first set. It will resolve to “Matteo Arnaldi” if Matteo Arnaldi wins the first set.
Read full resolution rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Cameron Norrie and Matteo Arnaldi in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Cameron Norrie” if Cameron Norrie wins the first set. It will resolve to “Matteo Arnaldi” if Matteo Arnaldi wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Evidence receipts
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Largest holders
Observed net position building
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