Virtus Bologna vs. BC Dubai

● quote 159 min ago

Sports→BasketballCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $5.9KEvent: Virtus Bologna vs. BC Dubai

Indicative prices · 159 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

37.5¢

Virtus Bologna

62.5¢

BC Dubai

1.0¢

Spread

anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:4 trades$1.7K trackedsource coverage 26%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 767 min agoofficial metadata 12 min ago

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYVirtus Bologna$2.9K@ 40¢·awaiting-lifechange

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

tracked

$1.7K

1 verified profitable wallet: Virtus Bologna · $1.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?

1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Executable quote is 159 minutes old.
•Observed tape is 767 minutes old.
•Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-11-06 19:30 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.euroleaguebasketball.net/euroleague/

Outcome meaning

•If the Virtus Bologna win, the market will resolve to "Virtus Bologna".

•If the BC Dubai win, the market will resolve to "BC Dubai".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game between Virtus Bologna and BC Dubai, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Virtus Bologna win, the market will resolve to "Virtus Bologna". If the BC Dubai win, the market will resolve to "BC Dubai". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

awaiting-lifechange2 linked markets · $5.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Virtus Bologna; negative values favor BC Dubai. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hVirtus Bologna · $0

6hVirtus Bologna · $0

24hBC Dubai · $1.7K

Virtus Bologna price VWAP

Volume-weighted Virtus Bologna price. BC Dubai fills are converted to the complementary Virtus Bologna probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current37.5¢

VWAP 24h38.0¢▼ below by 0.5pp

VWAP 7d39.58¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Virtus Bologna price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

60¢

55¢

50¢

45¢

40¢

$6.5K

35¢

← now

$1.7K

30¢

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15¢

10¢

5¢

0¢

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago

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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now

No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: BC Dubai (-1.5)

58.5¢$7.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Virtus Bologna vs. BC Dubai: O/U 173.5

——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.