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Spread: BC Dubai (-1.5)

● quote 1664 min ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: 37 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $8.2KEvent: Virtus Bologna vs. BC Dubai

Indicative prices · 1664 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

57.5¢
BC Dubai
42.5¢
Virtus Bologna
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection10Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:11 trades$4.0K trackedsource coverage 49%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 39 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Virtus Bologna · $398 net·2 wallets·$398 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYVirtus Bologna$3.0K@ 45¢·awaiting-lifechange

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$398
6h
+$2.1K
tracked
$4.0K

2 verified profitable wallets: Virtus Bologna · $398 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 1664 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 39 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-06 19:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.euroleaguebasketball.net/euroleague/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "BC Dubai" if BC Dubai win the game by 2 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Virtus Bologna".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming Euroleague Basketball game between Virtus Bologna and BC Dubai, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "BC Dubai" if BC Dubai win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Virtus Bologna". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on euroleaguebasketball.net.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
awaiting-lifechange2 linked markets · $5.9K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $2.2K gross
0x63a2…03b53 linked markets · $47 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor BC Dubai; negative values favor Virtus Bologna. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hVirtus Bologna · $398
6hBC Dubai · $2.1K
24hBC Dubai · $1.2K

BC Dubai price VWAP

Volume-weighted BC Dubai price. Virtus Bologna fills are converted to the complementary BC Dubai probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current57.5¢
VWAP 24h58.59¢▼ below by 1.1pp
VWAP 7d57.06¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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BC Dubai price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$33
55¢
← now
$6.9K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.