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Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Harriet Dart

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $70.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $258.4KEvent: Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Harriet Dart

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

38.5¢
Lilli Tagger
61.5¢
Harriet Dart
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection23Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets62Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority65Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 89%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:164 trades$144.0K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 55%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 53s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Lilli Tagger · $15.2K net·8 wallets·$24.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLHarriet Dart$20.2K@ 40¢·Kkunn

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Lilli Tagger SETUP
What the tape says

Lilli Tagger pressure: $32.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$32.3K
6h
+$67.0K
tracked
$144.0K

8 verified profitable wallets: Lilli Tagger · $15.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 89% · priority 65

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Lilli Tagger or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-08 08:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lilli Tagger and Harriet Dart in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lilli Tagger' if Lilli Tagger advances against Harriet Dart. This market will resolve to 'Harriet Dart' if Harriet Dart advances against Lilli Tagger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xdbdd…a5de3 linked markets · $298 gross
0x73a4…40072 linked markets · $262 gross
0xc54d…8be12 linked markets · $22 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Harriet Dart UP 3.5pp · near-book depth $17.3K → $5.7K · 9s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Lilli Tagger; negative values favor Harriet Dart. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLilli Tagger · $32.3K
6hLilli Tagger · $67.0K
24hLilli Tagger · $62.0K

Lilli Tagger price VWAP

Volume-weighted Lilli Tagger price. Harriet Dart fills are converted to the complementary Lilli Tagger probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current38.5¢
VWAP 24h75.63¢▼ below by 37.1pp
VWAP 7d75.63¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Lilli Tagger price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$12
85¢
$49.4K
80¢
$18.4K
75¢
$27.1K
70¢
$2.0K
65¢
$651
60¢
$37.8K
55¢
$8.6K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
← now
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLHarriet Dart$20.2K@ 40.0¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—6 minutes ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set 2 Winner: Lilli Tagger vs Harriet Dart
0.05¢$2.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Lilli Tagger (-1.5) vs Harriet Dart (+1.5)
0.45¢$2.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Lilli Tagger (-4.5) vs Harriet Dart (+4.5)
50.0¢$455priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Lilli Tagger vs. Harriet Dart: Total Sets O/U 2.5
99.55¢$74priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tagger vs. Dart: Match O/U 21.5
99.55¢$68priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tagger vs. Dart: Match O/U 23.5
99.55¢$27priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tagger vs. Dart: Match O/U 22.5
99.55¢$5priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tagger vs. Dart: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesLilli Tagger$25.5K
BUY VWAP 84.31¢·13 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.