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Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Adithya Karunaratne

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $76.4KEvent: Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Adithya Karunaratne

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.95¢
Xinyu Wang
0.05¢
Adithya Karunaratne
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection55Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets99Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution69Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 89%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:34 trades$43.1K trackedsource coverage 55%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Xinyu Wang · $9.0K net·3 wallets·$9.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYXinyu Wang$9.7K@ 97¢·casper7

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Xinyu Wang pressure: $23.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$23.0K
6h
+$23.6K
tracked
$43.1K

3 verified profitable wallets: Xinyu Wang · $9.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 89% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Xinyu Wang or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-09 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Xinyu Wang and Adithya Karunaratne in the Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xinyu Wang' if Xinyu Wang advances against Adithya Karunaratne. This market will resolve to 'Adithya Karunaratne' if Adithya Karunaratne advances against Xinyu Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Xinyu Wang; negative values favor Adithya Karunaratne. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hXinyu Wang · $23.0K
6hXinyu Wang · $23.6K
24hXinyu Wang · $23.6K

Xinyu Wang price VWAP

Volume-weighted Xinyu Wang price. Adithya Karunaratne fills are converted to the complementary Xinyu Wang probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.95¢
VWAP 24h97.63¢▲ above by 2.3pp
VWAP 7d97.63¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Xinyu Wang price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$42.5K
90¢
$631
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Spread: Xinyu Wang (-6.5) vs Adithya Karunaratne (+6.5)
99.95¢$4.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Xinyu Wang vs Adithya Karunaratne
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Set Handicap: Xinyu Wang (-1.5) vs Adithya Karunaratne (+1.5)
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Xinyu Wang vs. Adithya Karunaratne: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.05¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Wang vs. Karunaratne: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.05¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Wang vs. Karunaratne: Match O/U 21.5
0.05¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Wang vs. Karunaratne: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.05¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Wang vs. Karunaratne: Match O/U 22.5
0.05¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.