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UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)

● quote just now
Sports→Combat SportsCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $529.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $999.7KEvent: UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

50.5¢
Kevin Holland
49.5¢
Uroš Medic
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection21Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets66Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority66Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 89%💡 30 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:438 trades$553.7K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 54%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Kevin Holland · $105.7K net·30 wallets(2🐋)·$192.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKevin Holland$73.0K@ 51¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Kevin Holland SETUP
What the tape says

Kevin Holland pressure: $116.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$116.5K
6h
+$110.7K
tracked
$553.7K

30 verified profitable wallets: Kevin Holland · $105.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 89% · priority 66

Since latest accumulation: -5.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Kevin Holland or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-15 04:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Kevin Holland" if Kevin Holland is officially declared the winner of the fight against Uroš Medic at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Uroš Medic" if Uroš Medic is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Kevin Holland" if Kevin Holland is officially declared the winner of the fight against Uroš Medic at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Uroš Medic" if Uroš Medic is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
juliaolovesklaus2 linked markets · $1.9K gross
0xc8d9…df362 linked markets · $360 gross
0x9cc3…bfa62 linked markets · $3 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Kevin Holland@ 56.0¢20m ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Kevin Holland23m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Kevin Holland29m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Kevin Holland@ 71.0¢35m ago
15m INVALIDATED -19.0pp
Latest book event: Uroš Medic UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $390 → $171 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kevin Holland; negative values favor Uroš Medic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKevin Holland · $116.5K
6hKevin Holland · $110.7K
24hKevin Holland · $110.8K

Kevin Holland price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kevin Holland price. Uroš Medic fills are converted to the complementary Kevin Holland probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current50.5¢
VWAP 24h56.69¢▼ below by 6.2pp
VWAP 7d56.16¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Kevin Holland price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$20.6K
90¢
$26.2K
85¢
$18.6K
80¢
$23.9K
75¢
$15.4K
70¢
$7.7K
65¢
$14.9K
60¢
$42.0K
55¢
$43.3K
50¢
← now
$166.8K
45¢
$4.9K
40¢
$81.3K
35¢
$107.3K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLKevin Holland$10.1K@ 51.08¢0xd711…cd78🐋—16 minutes ago
BUYKevin Holland$73.0K@ 51.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—22 minutes ago
BUYKevin Holland$10.8K@ 86.0¢0x6db5…e279🐋—32 minutes ago
BUYKevin Holland$28.0K@ 63.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—41 minutes ago
BUYKevin Holland$27.6K@ 55.02¢0x6db5…e279🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKevin Holland$14.4K@ 40.0¢
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh0x0d6a…aa98
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYUroš Medic$12.2K@ 61.0¢
Hezhengyu00xc117…de2f
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYUroš Medic$20.0K@ 61.0¢
winayouss0x9dbd…2931
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYUroš Medic$22.1K@ 61.0¢
cavvvy0xc466…b5cf
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYKevin Holland$25.7K@ 40.0¢
Multicoloured-Serf0x958b…f826
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYUroš Medic$12.0K@ 61.0¢
endxd0xa41c…fade
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Kevin Holland$112.8K
BUY VWAP 53.15¢·6 fills
0x6db5…e279Kevin Holland$38.4K
BUY VWAP 61.20¢·2 fills
Multicoloured-SerfKevin Holland$30.8K
BUY VWAP 39.83¢·2 fills
cavvvyUroš Medic$25.0K
BUY VWAP 60.88¢·2 fills
winayoussUroš Medic$20.0K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·1 fill
dips.Uroš Medic$16.5K
BUY VWAP 48.98¢·3 fills
keeptheblueflagflyinghighKevin Holland$15.2K
BUY VWAP 41.00¢·2 fills
suitcase6628Kevin Holland$14.3K
BUY VWAP 95.25¢·7 fills
0x4bc8…7c00Uroš Medic$13.2K
BUY VWAP 21.32¢·8 fills
brokemaxdegenUroš Medic$12.9K
BUY VWAP 45.86¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.