UFC 334: Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims)

● quote 22s ago

Sports→Combat SportsCloses: 2 daysLiquidity: $30.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $976Event: UFC 334: Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims)

Indicative prices · 22s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

38.5¢

Cesar Almeida

61.5¢

Donte Johnson

1.0¢

Spread

anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution80Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 53%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:1 trades$106 trackedsource coverage 11%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 508 min agoofficial metadata 41 min ago

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDonte Johnson$18.0K@ 61¢·SineNooneEI

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

tracked

$106

1 verified profitable wallet: Donte Johnson · $18.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?

1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 53% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
•Observed tape is 508 minutes old.
•Official market metadata is 41 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-11-15 04:59 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events

Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Cesar Almeida" if Cesar Almeida is officially declared the winner of the fight against Donte Johnson at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Donte Johnson" if Donte Johnson is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Cesar Almeida" if Cesar Almeida is officially declared the winner of the fight against Donte Johnson at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Donte Johnson" if Donte Johnson is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Donte Johnson@ 63.0¢1d ago

15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h STALLED -2.0pp24h STALLED -2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cesar Almeida; negative values favor Donte Johnson. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hCesar Almeida · $0

6hCesar Almeida · $0

24hCesar Almeida · $106

Cesar Almeida price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cesar Almeida price. Donte Johnson fills are converted to the complementary Cesar Almeida probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current38.5¢

VWAP 24h39.0¢▼ below by 0.5pp

VWAP 7d38.72¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cesar Almeida price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

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