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Atenas vs. Gimnasia

Sports→BasketballCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $82Event: Atenas vs. Gimnasia

Polymarket indicative prices · 47s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

15.5¢
Atenas
84.5¢
Gimnasia
—
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection51Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 53%
24h sample:2 trades$10 trackedsource coverage 13%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 21 min agoofficial metadata 47s ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$5
6h
+$10
tracked
$10

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 53% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Only 2 tracked trades / 2 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 21 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-11 00:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.laliganacional.com.ar/laliga/
Outcome meaning

•If the Atenas win, the market will resolve to "Atenas".

•If the Gimnasia win, the market will resolve to "Gimnasia".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming LNB game between Atenas and Gimnasia, originally scheduled for Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Atenas win, the market will resolve to "Atenas". If the Gimnasia win, the market will resolve to "Gimnasia". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Thursday, November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Atenas; negative values favor Gimnasia. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAtenas · $5
6hAtenas · $10
24hAtenas · $10

Atenas price VWAP

Volume-weighted Atenas price. Gimnasia fills are converted to the complementary Atenas probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current15.5¢
VWAP 24h50.32¢▼ below by 34.8pp
VWAP 7d50.32¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Atenas price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$5
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$5
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
← now
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.