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Rolex Paris Masters: Kyrian Jacquet vs Tomas Machac

Sports→TennisSettlement: Tomas MachacLiquidity: $259.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $443.1KEvent: Rolex Paris Masters: Kyrian Jacquet vs Tomas Machac
0.0¢
Kyrian Jacquet payout
100.0¢
Tomas Machac payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:117 trades$130.9K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 44 min agoofficial metadata 37 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Tomas Machac · $30.5K net·14 wallets(1🐋)·$48.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTomas Machac$13.1K@ 65¢·0x2c33…0563

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Tomas Machac. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-09 14:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Kyrian Jacquet and Tomas Machac in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kyrian Jacquet' if Kyrian Jacquet advances against Tomas Machac. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Kyrian Jacquet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 38m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 38m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x7e97…35022 linked markets · $13 gross
0x9746…59002 linked markets · $11 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Tomas Machac UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $1.2K → $78.3K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kyrian Jacquet; negative values favor Tomas Machac. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKyrian Jacquet · $9.4K
6hTomas Machac · $11.8K
24hTomas Machac · $12.0K

Kyrian Jacquet price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kyrian Jacquet price. Tomas Machac fills are converted to the complementary Kyrian Jacquet probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h31.89¢▼ below by 31.9pp
VWAP 7d31.89¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Kyrian Jacquet price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$1.2K
50¢
$6.3K
45¢
$15.8K
40¢
$18.3K
35¢
$47.7K
30¢
$7.9K
25¢
$347
20¢
$21
15¢
$12.7K
10¢
$4.9K
5¢
$1.5K
0¢
← now
$14.2K

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTomas Machac$13.1K@ 65.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Tomas Machac (-1.5) vs Kyrian Jacquet (+1.5)
78.5¢$1.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jacquet vs. Machac: Match O/U 23.5
41.5¢$296priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kyrian Jacquet vs. Tomas Machac: Total Sets O/U 2.5
37.0¢$256priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Tomas Machac (-1.5) vs Kyrian Jacquet (+1.5)
61.0¢$221priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jacquet vs. Machac: Match O/U 22.5
48.5¢$113priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Kyrian Jacquet vs Tomas Machac
—$51priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jacquet vs. Machac: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jacquet vs. Machac: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Tomas Machac$13.1K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·1 fill
MadridTimeTomas Machac$11.7K
BUY VWAP 62.25¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.