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Rolex Paris Masters: Benjamin Bonzi vs Taylor Fritz

● quote 56 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $206.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $569.8KEvent: Rolex Paris Masters: Benjamin Bonzi vs Taylor Fritz

Indicative prices · 56 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.4¢
Benjamin Bonzi
99.9¢
Taylor Fritz
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets57Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 19 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:173 trades$203.6K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 77 min agoofficial metadata 56 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Benjamin Bonzi · $48.8K net·19 wallets(2🐋)·$86.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBenjamin Bonzi$17.0K@ 59¢·xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$38.0K
tracked
$203.6K

19 verified profitable wallets: Benjamin Bonzi · $48.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +34.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 56 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 77 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 56 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-10 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Bonzi and Taylor Fritz in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Bonzi' if Benjamin Bonzi advances against Taylor Fritz. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Benjamin Bonzi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Benjamin Bonzi@ 66.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -33.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Benjamin Bonzi DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $3.9K → $3.8K · 30s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Benjamin Bonzi; negative values favor Taylor Fritz. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBenjamin Bonzi · $0
6hBenjamin Bonzi · $38.0K
24hBenjamin Bonzi · $38.0K

Benjamin Bonzi price VWAP

Volume-weighted Benjamin Bonzi price. Taylor Fritz fills are converted to the complementary Benjamin Bonzi probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.4¢
VWAP 24h40.01¢▼ below by 39.6pp
VWAP 7d40.01¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Benjamin Bonzi price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$47.4K
55¢
$31.5K
50¢
$6.0K
45¢
$10.5K
40¢
$11.8K
35¢
$27.3K
30¢
$11.9K
25¢
$0
20¢
$10.1K
15¢
$13.7K
10¢
$16.9K
5¢
$7.2K
0¢
← now
$9.3K

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBenjamin Bonzi$11.7K@ 35.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBenjamin Bonzi$17.0K@ 59.0¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYTaylor Fritz$13.7K@ 85.0¢
9995850x88a6…7e77
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

999585Taylor Fritz$28.9K
BUY VWAP 80.72¢·5 fills
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjaseBenjamin Bonzi$25.0K
BUY VWAP 58.29¢·4 fills
0x076d…8d4cBenjamin Bonzi$15.4K
BUY VWAP 62.21¢·8 fills
redvinnyBenjamin Bonzi$12.2K
BUY VWAP 56.14¢·6 fills
0x2c33…0563Benjamin Bonzi$11.7K
BUY VWAP 35.0¢·1 fill
0x076d…8d4cTaylor Fritz$11.7K
BUY VWAP 54.89¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.