Houston Cougars vs. California Golden Bears

Sports→BasketballCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $510Event: Houston Cougars vs. California Golden Bears

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

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Houston Cougars

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California Golden Bears

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Spread

anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection92Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 53%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:2 trades$57 trackedsource coverage 11%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 24 min agoofficial metadata 299 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

+$52

tracked

$57

1 verified profitable wallet: Houston Cougars · $52 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?

—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 53% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Indicative price is unavailable.
•Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
•Only 2 tracked trades / 2 wallets in the 24h sample.
•Executable quote freshness is unavailable.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-11-09 01:30 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/

Outcome meaning

•If the Houston Cougars win, the market will resolve to "Houston Cougars".

•If the California Golden Bears win, the market will resolve to "California Golden Bears".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming CBB game between Houston Cougars and California Golden Bears, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Houston Cougars win, the market will resolve to "Houston Cougars". If the California Golden Bears win, the market will resolve to "California Golden Bears". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

0xa772…86862 linked markets · $124 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Houston Cougars; negative values favor California Golden Bears. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hHouston Cougars · $52

6hHouston Cougars · $52

24hHouston Cougars · $57

Houston Cougars price VWAP

Volume-weighted Houston Cougars price. California Golden Bears fills are converted to the complementary Houston Cougars probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current—

VWAP 24h95.0¢

VWAP 7d95.0¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Houston Cougars price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

$57

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