Spread: Houston Cougars (-19.5)

Sports→BasketballCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $7.1KEvent: Houston Cougars vs. California Golden Bears

Polymarket indicative prices · 24s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

50.5¢

Houston Cougars

49.5¢

California Golden Bears

—

Spread

anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection34Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 69%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:3 trades$5.3K trackedsource coverage 75%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 16 min agoofficial metadata 24s ago

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHouston Cougars$3.5K@ 51¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

Houston Cougars pressure: $1.8K net directional flow in 1h.

+$1.8K

tracked

$5.3K

1 verified profitable wallet: Houston Cougars · $3.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?

—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 69% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
•Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
•Observed tape is 16 minutes old.
•Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Houston Cougars or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-11-09 01:30 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/

Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Houston Cougars" if the Houston Cougars win the game by 20 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "California Golden Bears".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming CBB game between Houston Cougars and California Golden Bears, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Houston Cougars" if the Houston Cougars win the game by 20 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "California Golden Bears". The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

0xa772…86862 linked markets · $124 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Houston Cougars; negative values favor California Golden Bears. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hHouston Cougars · $1.8K

6hHouston Cougars · $1.8K

24hHouston Cougars · $1.8K

Houston Cougars price VWAP

Volume-weighted Houston Cougars price. California Golden Bears fills are converted to the complementary Houston Cougars probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current50.5¢

VWAP 24h50.99¢▼ below by 0.5pp

VWAP 7d50.99¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Houston Cougars price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

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65¢

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55¢

50¢

← now

$5.3K

45¢

$26

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0¢

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago

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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now

No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.