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Dota 2: potn9ki vs Time to Sleep (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group B

Sports→Esports · Dota 2Settlement: potn9kiLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $35.8KEvent: Dota 2: potn9ki vs Time to Sleep (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group B
100.0¢
potn9ki payout
0.0¢
Time to Sleep payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:40 trades$4.7K trackedsource coverage 13%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 126 min agoofficial metadata 53 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Time to Sleep · $125 net·3 wallets·$194 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLpotn9ki$1.9K@ 99¢·0x77d5…89ad

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome potn9ki. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-04 02:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "potn9ki" if potn9ki win the match against Time to Sleep.

•This market will resolve to "Time to Sleep" if Time to Sleep win the match against potn9ki.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between potn9ki and Time to Sleep in the Asgard Championship Group B, initially scheduled for November 3, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "potn9ki" if potn9ki win the match against Time to Sleep. This market will resolve to "Time to Sleep" if Time to Sleep win the match against potn9ki. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 3, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 54m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 54m ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 5h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x5f61…519a2 linked markets · $1.9K gross
RandomVibecoder3 linked markets · $731 gross
0xf550…ae8c2 linked markets · $96 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: potn9ki UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $116 → $20.5K · 2s
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor potn9ki; negative values favor Time to Sleep. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hpotn9ki · $0
6hTime to Sleep · $3.5K
24hTime to Sleep · $3.5K

potn9ki price VWAP

Volume-weighted potn9ki price. Time to Sleep fills are converted to the complementary potn9ki probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h86.85¢▲ above by 13.1pp
VWAP 7d86.84¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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potn9ki price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$3.6K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$4
75¢
$0
70¢
$4
65¢
$7
60¢
$181
55¢
$3
50¢
$66
45¢
$277
40¢
$76
35¢
$419
30¢
$34
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.