Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?

● quote 29s ago

Politics→Culture→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $46.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $363.5KEvent: Elon Musk # tweets November 5 - November 7, 2026?

Indicative prices · 29s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.05¢

YES

99.95¢

0.1¢

Spread

anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection55Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets71Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution90Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 55%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:65 trades$69.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 19%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 49 min agoofficial metadata 53s ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO · $19.7K net·6 wallets·$27.7K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNO$20.0K@ 100¢·LinaBell🦊

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

NO pressure: $37.9K net directional flow in 1h.

−$37.9K

−$43.1K

tracked

$69.2K

6 verified profitable wallets: NO · $19.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?

0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 55% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
•Observed tape is 49 minutes old.
•Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-11-07 17:00 UTC

Event constraint

Mutually exclusive

Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 5 12:00 PM ET to November 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

tianjiyuyunzhilu2 linked markets · $17.9K gross

ElonSimp2 linked markets · $9.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hNO · $37.9K

6hNO · $43.1K

24hNO · $61.0K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current0.05¢

VWAP 24h0.34¢▼ below by 0.3pp

VWAP 7d0.34¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

60¢

55¢

50¢

45¢

40¢

35¢

30¢

25¢

20¢

15¢

10¢

5¢

0¢

← now

$69.2K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago

Loading trades…

🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now

BUYNO$20.0K@ 99.8¢

LinaBell🦊0x8eab…a56d

🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

LinaBell🦊No$20.0K

BUY VWAP 99.8¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.