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Memphis vs. South Florida: O/U 53.5

● quote 131 min ago
Sports→American FootballCloses: 9 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: Memphis vs. South Florida

Indicative prices · 131 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

41.0¢
Over
59.0¢
Under
4.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution42Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%
24h sample:1 trades$214 trackedsource coverage unavailableBUY/SELL known 100%
tape 151 min agoofficial metadata 208 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$214
tracked
$214

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
4.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 131 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 151 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 208 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-13 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if Memphis and South Florida combine to score 54 or more points in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 54, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Memphis and South Florida, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Over" if Memphis and South Florida combine to score 54 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 54, this market will resolve to "Under". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
lightotunnel352 linked markets · $20.2K gross
0xb4f9…c9a72 linked markets · $16.7K gross
alwaysfade5 linked markets · $14.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOver · $0
6hOver · $214
24hOver · $214

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current41.0¢
VWAP 24h43.0¢▼ below by 2.0pp
VWAP 7d43.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$214
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Memphis (-3.5)
54.5¢$56.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Memphis vs. South Florida
64.5¢$51.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Memphis vs. South Florida: O/U 49.5
54.5¢$44.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Memphis (-2.5)
61.5¢$27.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Memphis (-4.5)
50.5¢$15.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Memphis (-5.5)
47.5¢$9.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Memphis vs. South Florida: O/U 51.5
46.5¢$569priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Memphis (-1.5)
62.5¢$510priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.