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Wake Forest vs. SMU

Sports→American FootballSettlement: Wake ForestLiquidity: $177.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $418.1KEvent: Wake Forest vs. SMU
100.0¢
Wake Forest payout
0.0¢
SMU payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:76 trades$177.4K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 220 min agoofficial metadata 198 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Wake Forest · $8.7K net·6 wallets(1🐋)·$40.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLWake Forest$14.5K@ 76¢·Burrrito

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Wake Forest. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-14 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Wake Forest" if Wake Forest win the game.

•This market will resolve to "SMU" if SMU win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Wake Forest and SMU, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Wake Forest" if Wake Forest win the game. This market will resolve to "SMU" if SMU win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 3h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 3h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
primm7 linked markets · $28.3K gross
iDARKenjoyer2 linked markets · $26.0K gross
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh3 linked markets · $15.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Wake Forest7h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Wake Forest@ 56.0¢7h ago
15m CONFIRMED +5.0pp1h CONFIRMED +39.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: SMU DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $12.6K → $9.6K · 27s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Wake Forest; negative values favor SMU. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSMU · $3.8K
6hWake Forest · $26.9K
24hWake Forest · $16.1K

Wake Forest price VWAP

Volume-weighted Wake Forest price. SMU fills are converted to the complementary Wake Forest probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h63.39¢▲ above by 36.6pp
VWAP 7d63.39¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Wake Forest price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$25.7K
90¢
$78
85¢
$9.1K
80¢
$97
75¢
$16.5K
70¢
$82
65¢
$13.6K
60¢
$12.6K
55¢
$12.7K
50¢
$26.7K
45¢
$52.9K
40¢
$7.3K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYWake Forest$14.1K@ 99.9¢
sleepy-panda0xa49b…4c40
🐋—about 5 hours ago
SELLWake Forest$14.5K@ 76.0¢
Burrrito0x21d8…ad91
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYWake Forest$11.4K@ 69.0¢
iDARKenjoyer0xf68a…5b1b
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYWake Forest$12.6K@ 59.09¢
iDARKenjoyer0xf68a…5b1b
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYSMU$11.0K@ 55.0¢
Donghui0x5877…d894
🐋—about 8 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

iDARKenjoyerWake Forest$24.0K
BUY VWAP 63.41¢·2 fills
primmWake Forest$21.2K
BUY VWAP 54.83¢·5 fills
sleepy-pandaWake Forest$14.1K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
DonghuiSMU$11.0K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.