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Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina

Sports→American FootballSettlement: Coastal CarolinaLiquidity: $126.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $211.0KEvent: Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina
0.0¢
Arkansas State payout
100.0¢
Coastal Carolina payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:13 trades$6.2K trackedsource coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1299 min agoofficial metadata 1216 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Arkansas State · $55.8K net·8 wallets(3🐋)·$77.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYArkansas State$34.7K@ 49¢·Kch-Temp

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Coastal Carolina. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-14 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Arkansas State" if Arkansas State win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Coastal Carolina" if Coastal Carolina win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Arkansas State and Coastal Carolina, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Arkansas State" if Arkansas State win the game. This market will resolve to "Coastal Carolina" if Coastal Carolina win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 21h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 21h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh2 linked markets · $38.6K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $10.7K gross
MadridTime3 linked markets · $2.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Arkansas State@ 49.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Coastal Carolina UP 9.5pp · near-book depth $377 → $79.5K · 108s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Arkansas State; negative values favor Coastal Carolina. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hArkansas State · $0
6hArkansas State · $64.7K
24hArkansas State · $64.7K

Arkansas State price VWAP

Volume-weighted Arkansas State price. Coastal Carolina fills are converted to the complementary Arkansas State probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h48.35¢▼ below by 48.4pp
VWAP 7d48.35¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Arkansas State price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$185
50¢
$22.3K
45¢
$63.7K
40¢
$224
35¢
$3
30¢
$3
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$1.5K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYArkansas State$11.0K@ 50.0¢
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN0xdaef…54e9
🐋—1 day ago
BUYArkansas State$34.7K@ 48.95¢
Kch-Temp0x9243…658e
🐋—1 day ago
BUYArkansas State$16.0K@ 48.0¢
Kch-Temp0x9243…658e
🐋—1 day ago
BUYCoastal Carolina$11.0K@ 53.0¢
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh0x0d6a…aa98
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Kch-TempArkansas State$50.7K
BUY VWAP 48.65¢·2 fills
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FANArkansas State$12.0K
BUY VWAP 49.91¢·2 fills
keeptheblueflagflyinghighCoastal Carolina$11.0K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.