Spread: Lakers (-12.5)

● quote 30s ago

Sports→BasketballCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $159.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $161.8KEvent: Lakers vs. Kings

Indicative prices · 30s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

49.5¢

Lakers

50.5¢

Kings

1.0¢

Spread

anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection29Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets51Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:26 trades$70.3K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 15 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Lakers · $18.2K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$23.9K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLakers$10.3K@ 50¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

Lakers pressure: $20.2K net directional flow in 1h.

+$20.2K

+$52.6K

tracked

$70.3K

2 verified profitable wallets: Lakers · $18.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?

1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Observed tape is 15 minutes old.
•Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Lakers or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-11-05 03:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/

Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Lakers" if the Lakers win the game by 13 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Kings". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Kings".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Lakers and Kings, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Lakers" if the Lakers win the game by 13 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Kings". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Kings". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

ferrariChampions20263 linked markets · $35.5K gross

HomeRunHazard3 linked markets · $14.0K gross

vibing1232 linked markets · $3.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Lakers; negative values favor Kings. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hLakers · $20.2K

6hLakers · $52.6K

24hLakers · $47.2K

Lakers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Lakers price. Kings fills are converted to the complementary Lakers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current49.5¢

VWAP 24h48.66¢▲ above by 0.8pp

VWAP 7d48.66¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Lakers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

60¢

55¢

50¢

$7.5K

45¢

← now

$62.8K

40¢

35¢

30¢

25¢

20¢

15¢

10¢

5¢

0¢

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago

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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now

BUYLakers$10.3K@ 49.51¢

ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319

🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Lakers$21.0K

BUY VWAP 48.96¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.