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Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A

● quote 16s ago
Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $41.2KEvent: Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A

Indicative prices · 16s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.95¢
Spirit Academy
0.05¢
Xipto Esports
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets29Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution69Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 68%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:61 trades$4.2K trackedsource coverage 10%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 8 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Spirit Academy · $129 net·3 wallets·$443 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSpirit Academy$1.1K@ 99¢·yep.itsme

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$217
6h
+$133
tracked
$4.2K

3 verified profitable wallets: Spirit Academy · $129 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 68% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-04 22:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Spirit Academy" if Spirit Academy win the match against Xipto Esports.

•This market will resolve to "Xipto Esports" if Xipto Esports win the match against Spirit Academy.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Spirit Academy and Xipto Esports in the Asgard Championship Group A, initially scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit Academy" if Spirit Academy win the match against Xipto Esports. This market will resolve to "Xipto Esports" if Xipto Esports win the match against Spirit Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 4h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
yanedaniil2 linked markets · $14.0K gross
BeerBets2 linked markets · $4.8K gross
0x5f61…519a2 linked markets · $1.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Spirit Academy UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $2.1K → $1.5K · 46s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Spirit Academy; negative values favor Xipto Esports. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSpirit Academy · $217
6hSpirit Academy · $133
24hXipto Esports · $12

Spirit Academy price VWAP

Volume-weighted Spirit Academy price. Xipto Esports fills are converted to the complementary Spirit Academy probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.95¢
VWAP 24h80.59¢▲ above by 19.4pp
VWAP 7d80.59¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Spirit Academy price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$2.3K
90¢
$36
85¢
$65
80¢
$0
75¢
$355
70¢
$235
65¢
$39
60¢
$80
55¢
$0
50¢
$457
45¢
$183
40¢
$124
35¢
$77
30¢
$22
25¢
$194
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.