Dota 2: angry birds vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winner

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $40.3KEvent: Dota 2: angry birds vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A

Polymarket indicative prices · 2 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.95¢
angry birds
0.05¢
Spirit Academy
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100direction54wallets67execution69priority0data 72%💡 2 smart
24h sample:48 trades$11.2K trackedsource coverage 28%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 31 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:angry birds · $1.7K net·2 wallets·$1.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLangry birds$3.4K@ 100¢·TakeMakeSell

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Spirit Academy pressure: $6.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$6.0K
6h
−$1.7K
tracked
$11.2K

2 verified profitable wallets: angry birds · $1.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 31 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Spirit Academy or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-05 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "angry birds" if angry birds win Game 1 against Spirit Academy.

•This market will resolve to "Spirit Academy" if Spirit Academy win Game 1 against angry birds.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between angry birds and Spirit Academy in the Asgard Championship Group A, initially scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "angry birds" if angry birds win Game 1 against Spirit Academy. This market will resolve to "Spirit Academy" if Spirit Academy win Game 1 against angry birds. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 5, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
TakeMakeSell2 linked markets · $11.5K gross
RandomVibecoder2 linked markets · $1.6K gross
0xe07d…78a42 linked markets · $1.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Spirit Academy DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $7 → $28 · 31s
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Lifecycleresolving

Signed Order Flow

1hSpirit Academy · $6.0K
6hSpirit Academy · $1.7K
24hSpirit Academy · $1.7K

angry birds price VWAP

Current99.95¢
VWAP 24h90.75¢▲ above by 9.2pp
VWAP 7d90.75¢
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

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angry birds price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$8.0K
90¢
$551
85¢
$0
80¢
$134
75¢
$382
70¢
$0
65¢
$519
60¢
$427
55¢
$1.2K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.