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Spread: Celtics (-9.5)

● quote 15s ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $14.6KEvent: Celtics vs. Hornets

Indicative prices · 15s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

51.5¢
Celtics
48.5¢
Hornets
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection35Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:7 trades$6.3K trackedsource coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 21 min agoofficial metadata 9 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCeltics$2.5K@ 51¢·0xf31e…f1ee

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Celtics pressure: $2.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$2.2K
6h
+$6.2K
tracked
$6.3K

1 verified profitable wallet: Celtics · $2.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 21 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Celtics or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-07 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Celtics" if the Celtics win the game by 10 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Hornets". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Hornets".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Celtics and Hornets, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Celtics" if the Celtics win the game by 10 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Hornets". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Hornets". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20263 linked markets · $8.5K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $6.2K gross
mooseborzoi3 linked markets · $3.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Celtics; negative values favor Hornets. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCeltics · $2.2K
6hCeltics · $6.2K
24hCeltics · $6.2K

Celtics price VWAP

Volume-weighted Celtics price. Hornets fills are converted to the complementary Celtics probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current51.5¢
VWAP 24h51.17¢▲ above by 0.3pp
VWAP 7d51.17¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Celtics price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$6.3K
45¢
$2
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
54.5¢$45.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Celtics vs. Hornets
76.5¢$31.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 208.5
48.5¢$16.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 207.5
51.5¢$16.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 209.5
46.5¢$12.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
43.5¢$6.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 210.5
43.5¢$5.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 206.5
54.5¢$2.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.