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Spread: Hawks (-7.5)

Sports→BasketballSettlement: WizardsLiquidity: $139.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $282.9KEvent: Wizards vs. Hawks
0.0¢
Hawks payout
100.0¢
Wizards payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:57 trades$104.0K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 888 min agoofficial metadata 850 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Hawks · $10.9K net·7 wallets(1🐋)·$45.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHawks$21.0K@ 50¢·ropetard

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Wizards. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-07 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Hawks" if the Hawks win the game by 8 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Wizards". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Wizards".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Wizards and Hawks, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Hawks" if the Hawks win the game by 8 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Wizards". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Wizards". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 14h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 14h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ropetard6 linked markets · $168.8K gross
mooseborzoi8 linked markets · $88.2K gross
takeormake8 linked markets · $36.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Hawks@ 54.0¢18h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -3.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Hawks UP 20.5pp · near-book depth $5 → $139 · 84s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Hawks; negative values favor Wizards. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hWizards · $2.0K
6hWizards · $4.7K
24hWizards · $10.4K

Hawks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Hawks price. Wizards fills are converted to the complementary Hawks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h50.56¢▼ below by 50.6pp
VWAP 7d50.56¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Hawks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$75
60¢
$627
55¢
$217
50¢
$96.5K
45¢
$17.3K
40¢
$1.2K
35¢
$0
30¢
$2.5K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYHawks$21.0K@ 50.45¢
ropetard0x2c86…d939
🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYWizards$13.8K@ 51.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 19 hours ago
BUYWizards$10.9K@ 49.96¢0xf559…f462🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ropetardHawks$21.0K
BUY VWAP 50.45¢·1 fill
dl880527Wizards$15.9K
BUY VWAP 48.28¢·3 fills
mooseborzoiHawks$13.9K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·2 fills
mooseborzoiWizards$13.8K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill
0xf559…f462Wizards$10.9K
BUY VWAP 49.96¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.