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BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Mika Brunold vs Borna Gojo

● quote 10 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $187.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $357.7KEvent: BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Mika Brunold vs Borna Gojo

Polymarket indicative prices · 11 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.05¢
Mika Brunold
99.95¢
Borna Gojo
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection20Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets80Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:175 trades$140.1K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 21 min agoofficial metadata 10 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Borna Gojo · $24.4K net·11 wallets(1🐋)·$30.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMika Brunold$13.7K@ 76¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Mika Brunold pressure: $28.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$28.6K
6h
+$26.2K
tracked
$140.1K

11 verified profitable wallets: Borna Gojo · $24.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +21.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 10 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 21 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 21.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Mika Brunold or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-14 10:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Mika Brunold and Borna Gojo in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mika Brunold' if Mika Brunold advances against Borna Gojo. This market will resolve to 'Borna Gojo' if Borna Gojo advances against Mika Brunold. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
vadimsm262 linked markets · $121 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Mika Brunold1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Mika Brunold1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Mika Brunold@ 79.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Mika Brunold@ 81.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +8.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Mika Brunold DOWN 24.5pp · near-book depth $61 → $151 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Mika Brunold; negative values favor Borna Gojo. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMika Brunold · $28.6K
6hMika Brunold · $26.2K
24hMika Brunold · $26.2K

Mika Brunold price VWAP

Volume-weighted Mika Brunold price. Borna Gojo fills are converted to the complementary Mika Brunold probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.05¢
VWAP 24h45.24¢▼ below by 45.2pp
VWAP 7d45.24¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Mika Brunold price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$4.9K
85¢
$3.6K
80¢
$9.9K
75¢
$35.3K
70¢
$2.4K
65¢
$262
60¢
$3.2K
55¢
$59
50¢
$614
45¢
$3.4K
40¢
$18.4K
35¢
$7.5K
30¢
$1.7K
25¢
$195
20¢
$0
15¢
$13.4K
10¢
$6.0K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$29.2K

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLBorna Gojo$12.1K@ 99.9¢
Mrnilson0xd622…c7ae
🐋—40 minutes ago
BUYBorna Gojo$10.1K@ 57.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMika Brunold$13.7K@ 76.03¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kkookkooMika Brunold$18.7K
BUY VWAP 76.02¢·2 fills
RN1Borna Gojo$13.1K
BUY VWAP 81.0¢·6 fills
0x2c33…0563Borna Gojo$10.1K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.