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Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $100.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $358.9KEvent: Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Indicative prices · 1 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.05¢
Federico Coria
99.95¢
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets32Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:81 trades$144.1K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 16 min agoofficial metadata 24s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Genaro Alberto Olivieri · $20.2K net·9 wallets(1🐋)·$63.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLGenaro Alberto Olivieri$20.1K@ 100¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$328
6h
−$21.3K
tracked
$144.1K

9 verified profitable wallets: Genaro Alberto Olivieri · $20.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 16 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-14 15:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Coria and Genaro Alberto Olivieri in the Villa Maria, originally scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federico Coria' if Federico Coria advances against Genaro Alberto Olivieri. This market will resolve to 'Genaro Alberto Olivieri' if Genaro Alberto Olivieri advances against Federico Coria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Federico Coria DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $20.8K → $13.4K · 48s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Federico Coria; negative values favor Genaro Alberto Olivieri. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGenaro Alberto Olivieri · $328
6hGenaro Alberto Olivieri · $21.3K
24hGenaro Alberto Olivieri · $21.3K

Federico Coria price VWAP

Volume-weighted Federico Coria price. Genaro Alberto Olivieri fills are converted to the complementary Federico Coria probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.05¢
VWAP 24h31.61¢▼ below by 31.6pp
VWAP 7d31.61¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Federico Coria price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$2.0K
70¢
$6.4K
65¢
$22.4K
60¢
$585
55¢
$11.8K
50¢
$2.2K
45¢
$221
40¢
$14.1K
35¢
$3.5K
30¢
$17.7K
25¢
$0
20¢
$5.5K
15¢
$2.6K
10¢
$10.6K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$44.4K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLGenaro Alberto Olivieri$20.1K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—24 minutes ago
SELLGenaro Alberto Olivieri$20.0K@ 99.9¢
esticamos0x6918…4726
🐋—25 minutes ago
BUYGenaro Alberto Olivieri$12.0K@ 32.85¢0x6982…a165🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Spread: Federico Coria (-0.5) vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri (+0.5)
—$4priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Federico Coria vs. Genaro Alberto Olivieri: Total Sets O/U 2.5
—$3priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Coria vs. Olivieri: Match O/U 23.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Coria vs. Olivieri: Match O/U 22.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Coria vs. Olivieri: Match O/U 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Federico Coria vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
20.5¢$1.2Mpriority59Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges
—$926.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cGenaro Alberto Olivieri$21.5K
BUY VWAP 47.72¢·6 fills
0xf584…3979Genaro Alberto Olivieri$15.5K
BUY VWAP 78.63¢·6 fills
SharkVisionGenaro Alberto Olivieri$14.6K
BUY VWAP 68.77¢·9 fills
0x6982…a165Genaro Alberto Olivieri$12.0K
BUY VWAP 32.85¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.