Spread: Pistons (-1.5)

● quote 41s ago

Sports→BasketballCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $16.5KEvent: Lakers vs. Pistons

Indicative prices · 41s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

67.5¢

Pistons

32.5¢

Lakers

1.0¢

Spread

anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%

24h sample:4 trades$6.1K trackedsource coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 49 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPistons$3.8K@ 55¢·Wal1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

+$206

+$216

tracked

$6.1K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?

1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Observed tape is 49 minutes old.
•Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-11-08 23:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/

Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Pistons" if the Pistons win the game by 2 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Lakers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Lakers and Pistons, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Pistons" if the Pistons win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Lakers". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

ropetard6 linked markets · $73.8K gross

quavoo9 linked markets · $32.5K gross

yabanci2 linked markets · $20.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pistons; negative values favor Lakers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hPistons · $206

6hPistons · $216

24hPistons · $4.0K

Pistons price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pistons price. Lakers fills are converted to the complementary Pistons probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current67.5¢

VWAP 24h56.55¢▲ above by 11.0pp

VWAP 7d56.55¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pistons price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

← now

60¢

$10

55¢

$6.1K

50¢

45¢

40¢

35¢

30¢

25¢

20¢

15¢

10¢

5¢

0¢

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago

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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now

No whale activity

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49.5¢$22.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5

43.5¢$20.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.