Spread: Pistons (-5.5)

● quote 10s ago

Sports→BasketballCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $91.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $124.5KEvent: Lakers vs. Pistons

Indicative prices · 10s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

56.5¢

Pistons

43.5¢

Lakers

1.0¢

Spread

anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection100Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution92Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 78%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:9 trades$63.8K tracked22% 🐋source coverage 51%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 17 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Pistons · $62.4K net·3 wallets(2🐋)·$62.4K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPistons$31.4K@ 56¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

Pistons pressure: $63.8K net directional flow in 1h.

+$63.8K

tracked

$63.8K

3 verified profitable wallets: Pistons · $62.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?

1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 78% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -2.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Observed tape is 17 minutes old.
•Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Pistons or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-11-08 23:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/

Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Pistons" if the Pistons win the game by 6 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Lakers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Lakers and Pistons, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Pistons" if the Pistons win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Lakers". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

ropetard6 linked markets · $73.8K gross

quavoo9 linked markets · $32.5K gross

yabanci2 linked markets · $20.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Pistons@ 59.0¢26m ago

15m STALLED -3.0pp

LARGE FLOWBUY Pistons@ 59.0¢26m ago

15m STALLED -3.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pistons; negative values favor Lakers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hPistons · $63.8K

6hPistons · $63.8K

24hPistons · $63.8K

Pistons price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pistons price. Lakers fills are converted to the complementary Pistons probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current56.5¢

VWAP 24h54.01¢▲ above by 2.5pp

VWAP 7d54.01¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Pistons price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

60¢

55¢