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Spread: Lakers (-16.5)

● quote 745 min ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: Lakers vs. Pistons

Indicative prices · 745 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

5.5¢
YES
94.5¢
NO
3.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution49Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 25%

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$0

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
3.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 25% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Only 0 tracked trades / 0 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •BUY/SELL is known for 0% of tracked volume.
  • •Executable quote is 745 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape freshness is unavailable.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-08 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Lakers" if the Lakers win the game by 17 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pistons". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pistons".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Lakers and Pistons, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Lakers" if the Lakers win the game by 17 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pistons". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pistons". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ropetard6 linked markets · $73.8K gross
quavoo9 linked markets · $32.5K gross
yabanci2 linked markets · $20.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $0
6hYES · $0
24hYES · $0
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Lakers vs. Pistons
28.5¢$280.8Kpriority61Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
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Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
60.5¢$66.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
62.5¢$49.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
53.5¢$27.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
65.5¢$21.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)
50.5¢$21.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
43.5¢$19.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.