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BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jaume Munar

● quote 80 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $560.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $258.0KEvent: BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jaume Munar

Indicative prices · 80 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Thiago Agustin Tirante
3.0¢
Jaume Munar
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets71Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:82 trades$116.9K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 87 min agoofficial metadata 83 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Thiago Agustin Tirante · $11.3K net·7 wallets·$16.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLThiago Agustin Tirante$13.0K@ 80¢·Luzzzer

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$12.2K
tracked
$116.9K

7 verified profitable wallets: Thiago Agustin Tirante · $11.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 80 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 87 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 83 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-15 16:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Jaume Munar in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Jaume Munar. This market will resolve to 'Jaume Munar' if Jaume Munar advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x1dd0…6f962 linked markets · $378 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Thiago Agustin Tirante UP 3.5pp · near-book depth $131.3K → $3.5K · 18s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Thiago Agustin Tirante; negative values favor Jaume Munar. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hThiago Agustin Tirante · $0
6hThiago Agustin Tirante · $12.2K
24hThiago Agustin Tirante · $11.7K

Thiago Agustin Tirante price VWAP

Volume-weighted Thiago Agustin Tirante price. Jaume Munar fills are converted to the complementary Thiago Agustin Tirante probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h67.69¢▲ above by 32.2pp
VWAP 7d67.69¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Thiago Agustin Tirante price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$24.8K
90¢
$10
85¢
$0
80¢
$4.1K
75¢
$19.7K
70¢
$12.4K
65¢
$14.6K
60¢
$1.1K
55¢
$0
50¢
$2.8K
45¢
$8.0K
40¢
$4.8K
35¢
$24.4K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLThiago Agustin Tirante$13.0K@ 79.66¢
Luzzzer0x2180…08f0
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Spread: Jaume Munar (-2.5) vs Thiago Agustin Tirante (+2.5)
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Tirante vs. Munar: Match O/U 22.5
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Tirante vs. Munar: Match O/U 23.5
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Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Jaume Munar: Total Sets O/U 2.5
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

LightParadoxThiago Agustin Tirante$14.0K
BUY VWAP 48.41¢·7 fills
LuzzzerThiago Agustin Tirante$10.8K
BUY VWAP 47.44¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.