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WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Coco Gauff

● quote 11s ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 5 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $47.5KEvent: WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Coco Gauff

Indicative prices · 11s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

27.5¢
Marta Kostyuk
72.5¢
Coco Gauff
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 55%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:28 trades$8.9K trackedsource coverage 19%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 220 min agoofficial metadata 13 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMarta Kostyuk$1.3K@ 27¢·0xbc43…96d3

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$8.2K
tracked
$8.9K

1 verified profitable wallet: Marta Kostyuk · $16 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 55% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 220 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-17 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Marta Kostyuk and Coco Gauff in the WTA Finals, Group A, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marta Kostyuk' if Marta Kostyuk advances against Coco Gauff. This market will resolve to 'Coco Gauff' if Coco Gauff advances against Marta Kostyuk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x8fe7…6c1f2 linked markets · $166 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Marta Kostyuk; negative values favor Coco Gauff. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMarta Kostyuk · $0
6hMarta Kostyuk · $8.2K
24hMarta Kostyuk · $8.2K

Marta Kostyuk price VWAP

Volume-weighted Marta Kostyuk price. Coco Gauff fills are converted to the complementary Marta Kostyuk probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current27.5¢
VWAP 24h27.92¢▼ below by 0.4pp
VWAP 7d27.92¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Marta Kostyuk price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$215
25¢
← now
$8.7K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Marta Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Coco Gauff (+1.5)
15.5¢$1.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Coco Gauff (-1.5) vs Marta Kostyuk (+1.5)
51.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Marta Kostyuk vs. Coco Gauff: Total Sets O/U 2.5
34.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kostyuk vs. Gauff: Match O/U 22.5
43.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Coco Gauff (-4.5) vs Marta Kostyuk (+4.5)
49.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Marta Kostyuk vs Coco Gauff
33.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Marta Kostyuk vs Coco Gauff
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kostyuk vs. Gauff: Match O/U 23.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.