PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Set Handicap: Coco Gauff (-1.5) vs Marta Kostyuk (+1.5)

● quote 294 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 5 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Coco Gauff

Indicative prices · 294 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

51.5¢
Coco Gauff
48.5¢
Marta Kostyuk
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:7 trades$201 trackedsource coverage unavailableBUY/SELL known 100%
tape 160 min agoofficial metadata 1873 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$10
tracked
$201

1 verified profitable wallet: Coco Gauff · $25 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 294 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 160 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 1873 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-17 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Coco Gauff" if Coco Gauff wins by 2 or more sets than Marta Kostyuk, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Marta Kostyuk."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Coco Gauff can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Marta Kostyuk."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Coco Gauff and Marta Kostyuk in the WTA Finals, Group A, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Coco Gauff" if Coco Gauff wins by 2 or more sets than Marta Kostyuk, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Marta Kostyuk." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Coco Gauff can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Marta Kostyuk." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x8fe7…6c1f2 linked markets · $166 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Coco Gauff; negative values favor Marta Kostyuk. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCoco Gauff · $0
6hMarta Kostyuk · $10
24hMarta Kostyuk · $15

Coco Gauff price VWAP

Volume-weighted Coco Gauff price. Marta Kostyuk fills are converted to the complementary Coco Gauff probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current51.5¢
VWAP 24h50.9¢▲ above by 0.6pp
VWAP 7d50.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Coco Gauff price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$201
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Coco Gauff
27.5¢$47.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Marta Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Coco Gauff (+1.5)
15.5¢$1.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Coco Gauff (-4.5) vs Marta Kostyuk (+4.5)
49.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kostyuk vs. Gauff: Match O/U 22.5
43.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Marta Kostyuk vs Coco Gauff
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Marta Kostyuk vs Coco Gauff
33.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Marta Kostyuk vs. Coco Gauff: Total Sets O/U 2.5
34.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kostyuk vs. Gauff: Match O/U 23.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.