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Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

Sports→BasketballSettlement: HornetsLiquidity: $283.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $298.8KEvent: Cavaliers vs. Hornets
0.0¢
Cavaliers payout
100.0¢
Hornets payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Cavaliers · $1.9K net·3 wallets·$2.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHornets$97.1K@ 52¢·0x4924…3782

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Hornets. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-10 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Cavaliers" if the Cavaliers win the game by 9 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Hornets". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Hornets".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Cavaliers and Hornets, originally scheduled for Monday, November 9, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Cavaliers" if the Cavaliers win the game by 9 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Hornets". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Hornets". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Wednesday, November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 2d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 2d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoi9 linked markets · $46.1K gross
Flaznorp24 linked markets · $35.3K gross
HomeRunHazard3 linked markets · $27.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Hornets@ 53.0¢3d ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h CONFIRMED +34.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cavaliers; negative values favor Hornets. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCavaliers · $38
6hHornets · $101.3K
24hHornets · $97.1K

Cavaliers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cavaliers price. Hornets fills are converted to the complementary Cavaliers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h48.29¢▼ below by 48.3pp
VWAP 7d48.29¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cavaliers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$1.8K
50¢
$11.4K
45¢
$125.1K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$334
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$38

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYHornets$10.0K@ 52.0¢
Zzzz870x2117…5c26
🐋—3 days ago
BUYHornets$97.1K@ 52.0¢0x4924…3782🐋—3 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x4924…3782Hornets$103.5K
BUY VWAP 51.97¢·2 fills
Zzzz87Hornets$10.0K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.