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BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Borna Gojo vs Ugo Humbert

● quote 13s ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $180.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $240.4KEvent: BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Borna Gojo vs Ugo Humbert

Polymarket indicative prices · 6 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.05¢
Borna Gojo
99.95¢
Ugo Humbert
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection31Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:88 trades$97.0K trackedsource coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Ugo Humbert · $23.6K net·9 wallets·$23.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUgo Humbert$7.8K@ 87¢·Venusian

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Ugo Humbert pressure: $30.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$30.0K
6h
−$44.0K
tracked
$97.0K

9 verified profitable wallets: Ugo Humbert · $23.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Ugo Humbert or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-18 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Borna Gojo and Ugo Humbert in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Borna Gojo' if Borna Gojo advances against Ugo Humbert. This market will resolve to 'Ugo Humbert' if Ugo Humbert advances against Borna Gojo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf12f…b30f2 linked markets · $4.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Borna Gojo DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $1.7K → $898 · 48s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Borna Gojo; negative values favor Ugo Humbert. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hUgo Humbert · $30.0K
6hUgo Humbert · $44.0K
24hUgo Humbert · $44.0K

Borna Gojo price VWAP

Volume-weighted Borna Gojo price. Ugo Humbert fills are converted to the complementary Borna Gojo probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.05¢
VWAP 24h16.99¢▼ below by 16.9pp
VWAP 7d16.99¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Borna Gojo price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$11.4K
30¢
$6.4K
25¢
$1.4K
20¢
$3.5K
15¢
$28.9K
10¢
$28.1K
5¢
$8.8K
0¢
← now
$8.6K

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Spread: Ugo Humbert (-3.5) vs Borna Gojo (+3.5)
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Gojo vs. Humbert: Match O/U 21.5
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Borna Gojo vs. Ugo Humbert: Total Sets O/U 2.5
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

MadridTimeUgo Humbert$17.3K
BUY VWAP 80.42¢·9 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.