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Game Spread: Ugo Humbert (-3.5) vs Borna Gojo (+3.5)

● quote 5 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $10.8KEvent: BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Borna Gojo vs Ugo Humbert

Indicative prices · 5 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.95¢
Ugo Humbert
0.05¢
Borna Gojo
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly4Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution69Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 79%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:4 trades$6.2K trackedsource coverage 57%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 24 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBorna Gojo$3.8K@ 63¢·0xf12f…b30f

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$8
6h
−$3.7K
tracked
$6.2K

1 verified profitable wallet: Ugo Humbert · $3 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 79% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 24 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-18 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Ugo Humbert" if Ugo Humbert wins 3.5 or more total games than Borna Gojo in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Borna Gojo".

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Ugo Humbert could no longer have finished 3.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Borna Gojo".

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Ugo Humbert" if Ugo Humbert wins 3.5 or more total games than Borna Gojo in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Borna Gojo". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Ugo Humbert could no longer have finished 3.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Borna Gojo". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf12f…b30f2 linked markets · $4.9K gross
0x3968…63462 linked markets · $12 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ugo Humbert; negative values favor Borna Gojo. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hUgo Humbert · $8
6hBorna Gojo · $3.7K
24hBorna Gojo · $6.2K

Ugo Humbert price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ugo Humbert price. Borna Gojo fills are converted to the complementary Ugo Humbert probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.95¢
VWAP 24h37.7¢▲ above by 62.3pp
VWAP 7d37.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ugo Humbert price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$8
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$6.2K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Borna Gojo vs Ugo Humbert
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Set Handicap: Ugo Humbert (-1.5) vs Borna Gojo (+1.5)
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—$622priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Gojo vs. Humbert: Match O/U 21.5
—$31priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Borna Gojo vs. Ugo Humbert: Total Sets O/U 2.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.