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Set 1 Winner: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo

Sports→TennisSettlement: Alejandro TabiloLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $2.5KEvent: BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo
0.0¢
Lorenzo Sonego payout
100.0¢
Alejandro Tabilo payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLAlejandro Tabilo$2.2K@ 100¢·extra18

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Alejandro Tabilo. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-18 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Lorenzo Sonego” if Lorenzo Sonego wins the first set. It will resolve to “Alejandro Tabilo” if Alejandro Tabilo wins the first set.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Sonego and Alejandro Tabilo in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Lorenzo Sonego” if Lorenzo Sonego wins the first set. It will resolve to “Alejandro Tabilo” if Alejandro Tabilo wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 1d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 1d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x9bfe…4a262 linked markets · $17.5K gross
extra183 linked markets · $11.8K gross
lzh12 linked markets · $10.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Lorenzo Sonego; negative values favor Alejandro Tabilo. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLorenzo Sonego · $768
6hLorenzo Sonego · $1.0K
24hLorenzo Sonego · $1.0K

Lorenzo Sonego price VWAP

Volume-weighted Lorenzo Sonego price. Alejandro Tabilo fills are converted to the complementary Lorenzo Sonego probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h18.04¢▼ below by 18.0pp
VWAP 7d18.04¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Lorenzo Sonego price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$250
55¢
$17
50¢
$5
45¢
$0
40¢
$59
35¢
$1.4K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$2.2K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.