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Matsuyama: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Dylan Friend

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $7.2KEvent: Matsuyama: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Dylan Friend

Polymarket indicative prices · 5 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

70.5¢
Yu-Hsiou Hsu
29.5¢
Jay Dylan Friend
—
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection83Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets42Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:28 trades$14.5K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Yu-Hsiou Hsu · $294 net·5 wallets·$661 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJay Dylan Friend$10.3K@ 25¢·0x6982…a165

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Jay Dylan Friend pressure: $12.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$12.0K
6h
−$10.6K
tracked
$14.5K

5 verified profitable wallets: Yu-Hsiou Hsu · $294 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 11 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Jay Dylan Friend or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-20 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yu-Hsiou Hsu and Jay Dylan Friend in the Matsuyama, originally scheduled for November 12, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yu-Hsiou Hsu' if Yu-Hsiou Hsu advances against Jay Dylan Friend. This market will resolve to 'Jay Dylan Friend' if Jay Dylan Friend advances against Yu-Hsiou Hsu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Yu-Hsiou Hsu; negative values favor Jay Dylan Friend. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJay Dylan Friend · $12.0K
6hJay Dylan Friend · $10.6K
24hJay Dylan Friend · $10.6K

Yu-Hsiou Hsu price VWAP

Volume-weighted Yu-Hsiou Hsu price. Jay Dylan Friend fills are converted to the complementary Yu-Hsiou Hsu probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current70.5¢
VWAP 24h71.04¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d71.04¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Yu-Hsiou Hsu price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$196
70¢
← now
$12.5K
65¢
$231
60¢
$13
55¢
$28
50¢
$0
45¢
$61
40¢
$1.4K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYJay Dylan Friend$10.3K@ 25.37¢0x6982…a165🐋—17 minutes ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Hsu vs. Friend: Match O/U 21.5
50.0¢$204priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Dylan Friend
99.95¢$5priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Jay Dylan Friend (-1.5) vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu (+1.5)
0.4¢$5priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Yu-Hsiou Hsu (-1.5) vs Jay Dylan Friend (+1.5)
50.0¢$5priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Dylan Friend
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hsu vs. Friend: Match O/U 22.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hsu vs. Friend: Match O/U 23.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Jay Dylan Friend (-1.5) vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu (+1.5)
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x6982…a165Jay Dylan Friend$12.1K
BUY VWAP 25.46¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.