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Set Handicap: Yu-Hsiou Hsu (-1.5) vs Jay Dylan Friend (+1.5)

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $5Event: Matsuyama: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Dylan Friend

Polymarket indicative prices · 4 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

50.0¢
Yu-Hsiou Hsu
50.0¢
Jay Dylan Friend.
—
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection100Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%
24h sample:1 trades$1 trackedsource coverage 26%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 46 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$1
6h
+$1
tracked
$1

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 46 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-20 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Yu-Hsiou Hsu" if Yu-Hsiou Hsu wins by 2 or more sets than Jay Dylan Friend, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Jay Dylan Friend."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Yu-Hsiou Hsu can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Jay Dylan Friend."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yu-Hsiou Hsu and Jay Dylan Friend in the Matsuyama, originally scheduled for November 12, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yu-Hsiou Hsu" if Yu-Hsiou Hsu wins by 2 or more sets than Jay Dylan Friend, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Jay Dylan Friend." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Yu-Hsiou Hsu can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Jay Dylan Friend." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Yu-Hsiou Hsu; negative values favor Jay Dylan Friend.. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYu-Hsiou Hsu · $1
6hYu-Hsiou Hsu · $1
24hYu-Hsiou Hsu · $1

Yu-Hsiou Hsu price VWAP

Volume-weighted Yu-Hsiou Hsu price. Jay Dylan Friend. fills are converted to the complementary Yu-Hsiou Hsu probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current50.0¢
VWAP 24h26.0¢▲ above by 24.0pp
VWAP 7d26.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Yu-Hsiou Hsu price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$1
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Matsuyama: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Dylan Friend
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Hsu vs. Friend: Match O/U 21.5
50.0¢$204priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Jay Dylan Friend (-1.5) vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu (+1.5)
0.4¢$5priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Dylan Friend
99.95¢$5priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hsu vs. Friend: Match O/U 22.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hsu vs. Friend: Match O/U 23.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Jay Dylan Friend (-1.5) vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu (+1.5)
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs. Jay Dylan Friend: Total Sets O/U 2.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.