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Spread: Pepperdine Waves (-2.5)

Sports→BasketballCloses: 17 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $523Event: Pepperdine Waves vs. Sam Houston Bearkats

Polymarket indicative prices · 10 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

53.5¢
Pepperdine Waves
46.5¢
Sam Houston Bearkats
—
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection97Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets64Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:8 trades$4.8K trackedsource coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 17 min agoofficial metadata 10 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Pepperdine Waves · $114 net·2 wallets·$119 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSam Houston Bearkats$2.5K@ 51¢·mooseborzoi

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Sam Houston Bearkats pressure: $4.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$4.7K
6h
−$4.7K
tracked
$4.8K

2 verified profitable wallets: Pepperdine Waves · $114 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 17 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Sam Houston Bearkats or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-12 00:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Pepperdine Waves" if the Pepperdine Waves win the game by 3 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Sam Houston Bearkats".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming CBB game between Pepperdine Waves and Sam Houston Bearkats, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Pepperdine Waves" if the Pepperdine Waves win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Sam Houston Bearkats". The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoi4 linked markets · $14.2K gross
0x63a2…03b53 linked markets · $37 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pepperdine Waves; negative values favor Sam Houston Bearkats. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSam Houston Bearkats · $4.7K
6hSam Houston Bearkats · $4.7K
24hSam Houston Bearkats · $4.6K

Pepperdine Waves price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pepperdine Waves price. Sam Houston Bearkats fills are converted to the complementary Pepperdine Waves probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current53.5¢
VWAP 24h49.09¢▲ above by 4.4pp
VWAP 7d49.09¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pepperdine Waves price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$124
45¢
$4.7K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.