Spread: Magic (-9.5)

● quote just now

Sports→BasketballCloses: 17 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $21.2KEvent: Bucks vs. Magic

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

57.5¢

Magic

42.5¢

Bucks

1.0¢

Spread

anomaly80Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:21 trades$7.3K trackedsource coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 10 min ago

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMagic$3.8K@ 50¢·quavoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP

What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

−$146

+$4.7K

tracked

$7.3K

1 verified profitable wallet: Magic · $1 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?

1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-11-14 00:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/

Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Magic" if the Magic win the game by 10 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Bucks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Bucks".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Bucks and Magic, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Magic" if the Magic win the game by 10 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Bucks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Bucks". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh4 linked markets · $38.6K gross

quavoo4 linked markets · $21.8K gross

HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $15.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Magic; negative values favor Bucks. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hBucks · $146

6hMagic · $4.7K

24hMagic · $4.6K

Magic price VWAP

Volume-weighted Magic price. Bucks fills are converted to the complementary Magic probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current57.5¢

VWAP 24h49.79¢▲ above by 7.7pp

VWAP 7d49.79¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Magic price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

60¢

55¢

← now

50¢

$5.9K

45¢

$1.4K

40¢

35¢

30¢

25¢

20¢

15¢

10¢

5¢

0¢

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…

Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago

Loading trades…

🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now

No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks

49.5¢$1.9Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

—$891.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Musetti

—$699.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

M15 Antalya: Evgenii Tiurnev vs Dmitry Popko

48.0¢$544.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Grizzlies vs. Pelicans

60.5¢$443.6Kpriority65Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

0.15¢$427.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)

33.5¢$406.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Lima: Tristan Boyer vs Max Alcala Gurri

—$382.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.