Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)

● quote 1453 min ago

Sports→BasketballCloses: 5 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $10.5KEvent: Nuggets vs. Pelicans

Polymarket indicative prices · 11 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

64.5¢

Nuggets

35.5¢

Pelicans

—

Spread

anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:11 trades$2.8K trackedsource coverage 23%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 883 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNuggets$1.1K@ 66¢·bigbeliever

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

tracked

$2.8K

1 verified profitable wallet: Nuggets · $2.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?

—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
•Executable quote is 1453 minutes old.
•Observed tape is 883 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-11-15 00:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/

Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Nuggets" if the Nuggets win the game by 9 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pelicans". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pelicans".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Nuggets and Pelicans, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Nuggets" if the Nuggets win the game by 9 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pelicans". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pelicans". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

bigbeliever6 linked markets · $118.1K gross

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh4 linked markets · $35.5K gross

quavoo3 linked markets · $15.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nuggets; negative values favor Pelicans. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hNuggets · $0

6hNuggets · $0

24hNuggets · $2.2K

Nuggets price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nuggets price. Pelicans fills are converted to the complementary Nuggets probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current64.5¢

VWAP 24h65.62¢▼ below by 1.1pp

VWAP 7d65.62¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Nuggets price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

$2.8K

60¢

← now

55¢

50¢

45¢

40¢

35¢

30¢

25¢

20¢

15¢

10¢

5¢

0¢

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago

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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now

No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.