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Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Nexus - Map 2 Winner

● quote 24s ago
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $60.3KEvent: Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Nexus (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage

Indicative prices · 24s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.05¢
FORZE Reload
99.95¢
Nexus
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection68Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution69Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 69%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:43 trades$9.1K trackedsource coverage 15%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFORZE Reload$2.5K@ 65¢·JabJabich

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

FORZE Reload pressure: $6.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$6.2K
6h
+$7.3K
tracked
$9.1K

1 verified profitable wallet: Nexus · $62 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 69% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 11 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from FORZE Reload or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-15 21:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "FORZE Reload" if FORZE Reload win Map 2 against Nexus.

•This market will resolve to "Nexus" if Nexus win Map 2 against FORZE Reload.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between FORZE Reload and Nexus in the CCT Europe Group Stage, initially scheduled for November 15, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "FORZE Reload" if FORZE Reload win Map 2 against Nexus. This market will resolve to "Nexus" if Nexus win Map 2 against FORZE Reload. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 15, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 23h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xdbfc…e3873 linked markets · $4.4K gross
0x9e3e…f8823 linked markets · $1.5K gross
BillBenter20263 linked markets · $799 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Nexus UP 7.0pp · near-book depth $2.2K → $1.6K · 14s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor FORZE Reload; negative values favor Nexus. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFORZE Reload · $6.2K
6hFORZE Reload · $7.3K
24hFORZE Reload · $7.3K

FORZE Reload price VWAP

Volume-weighted FORZE Reload price. Nexus fills are converted to the complementary FORZE Reload probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.05¢
VWAP 24h48.89¢▼ below by 48.8pp
VWAP 7d48.89¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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FORZE Reload price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$87
75¢
$0
70¢
$85
65¢
$63
60¢
$3.6K
55¢
$3.4K
50¢
$16
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$325
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$1.5K

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.