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Set Handicap: Elina Svitolina (-1.5) vs Linda Noskova (+1.5)

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $107Event: WTA Finals, Final Stage: Linda Noskova vs Elina Svitolina

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Elina Svitolina
—
Linda Noskova.
—
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection96Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%
24h sample:3 trades$48 trackedsource coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 57 min agoofficial metadata 40 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$46
6h
−$45
tracked
$48

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 57 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-21 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Elina Svitolina" if Elina Svitolina wins by 2 or more sets than Linda Noskova, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Linda Noskova."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Elina Svitolina can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Linda Noskova."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Elina Svitolina and Linda Noskova in the WTA Finals, Final Stage, originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Elina Svitolina" if Elina Svitolina wins by 2 or more sets than Linda Noskova, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Linda Noskova." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Elina Svitolina can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Linda Noskova." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh2 linked markets · $25.5K gross
0x6e9b…888f2 linked markets · $27 gross
0x765e…36dd2 linked markets · $16 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Elina Svitolina; negative values favor Linda Noskova.. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLinda Noskova. · $46
6hLinda Noskova. · $45
24hLinda Noskova. · $44

Elina Svitolina price VWAP

Volume-weighted Elina Svitolina price. Linda Noskova. fills are converted to the complementary Elina Svitolina probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h95.74¢
VWAP 7d95.74¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Elina Svitolina price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$46
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$2
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.