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Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Axorfy Gaming - Map 2 Winner

● quote 21s ago
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $40.4KEvent: Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Axorfy Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Playoffs

Indicative prices · 21s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.95¢
Galorys
0.05¢
Axorfy Gaming
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets7Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution69Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 53%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:63 trades$5.3K trackedsource coverage 13%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 86 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Axorfy Gaming · $17 net·3 wallets·$242 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLGalorys$1.6K@ 100¢·0xb2ab…c871

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$605
tracked
$5.3K

3 verified profitable wallets: Axorfy Gaming · $17 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 53% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 86 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-15 21:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Galorys" if Galorys win Map 2 against Axorfy Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "Axorfy Gaming" if Axorfy Gaming win Map 2 against Galorys.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between Galorys and Axorfy Gaming in the CCT South America Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 15, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Galorys" if Galorys win Map 2 against Axorfy Gaming. This market will resolve to "Axorfy Gaming" if Axorfy Gaming win Map 2 against Galorys. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 15, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 15h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x25ef…b2dd2 linked markets · $132 gross
0xcc6b…daed2 linked markets · $47 gross
uqwoapsalxzya2 linked markets · $38 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Galorys UP 9.0pp · near-book depth $676 → $1.8K · 78s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Galorys; negative values favor Axorfy Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGalorys · $0
6hAxorfy Gaming · $605
24hAxorfy Gaming · $605

Galorys price VWAP

Volume-weighted Galorys price. Axorfy Gaming fills are converted to the complementary Galorys probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.95¢
VWAP 24h77.05¢▲ above by 22.9pp
VWAP 7d77.05¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Galorys price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$1.9K
90¢
$107
85¢
$194
80¢
$111
75¢
$115
70¢
$54
65¢
$1.1K
60¢
$117
55¢
$1.2K
50¢
$0
45¢
$363
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.