0x0a854897a06d4999e5b2dde5693609f1428ffe9d
+$180.4K
Real PnL
+21.8%
ROI
$131.1K
Volume
$826.2K
Invested
81.8%
YES Bias
11
Trades (DB)
3/13
Markets Won
whale18Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24h
Open positions:7 markets·current value $309.7K·24 closed
PnL by Market (31)7 open24 closed
● open No · $180.6Kin $169.2Kunreal +$11.4K
● open Yes · $41.5Kin $69.1Kunreal $-27624
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
● open Yes · $28.3Kin $44.2Kunreal $-15839
● open Yes · $45.2Kin $43.4Kunreal +$1.8K
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
● open Yes · $8.5Kin $13.2Kunreal $-4687
● open Yes · $5.4Kin $6.9Kunreal $-1469
● open Yes · $133in $152unreal $-19
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
● closedin $102.5Kout $590.0K
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
● closedin $68.8Kout $400.2K
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
● closedin $73.8K
● closedin $86.5Kout $23.0K
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
● closedin $27.8K
● closedin $25.8Kout $9.9K
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
● closedin $20.7Kout $5.8K
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
● closedin $14.2K
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
● closedin $8.2Kout $656
● closedin $10.2Kout $2.8K
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
● closedin $9.0Kout $3.0K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
● closedin $5.7K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
● closedin $8.9Kout $3.5K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
● closedin $7.9Kout $2.8K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
● closedin $3.7Kout $304
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
● closedin $1.7K
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
● closedin $1.6K
● closedin $1.1Kout $47
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
● closedin $978
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
● closedin $327
● closedin $929out $1.1K
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?
● closed
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
● closed
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?
● closed
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? ●open No· $180.6K | $169.2K | $0 | +$11.4K | 57 | $-157750 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? ●open Yes· $41.5K | $69.1K | $0 | $-27624 | 26 | $-96714 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? ●open Yes· $28.3K | $44.2K | $0 | $-15839 | 18 | $-60003 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? ●open Yes· $45.2K | $43.4K | $0 | +$1.8K | 2 | $-41574 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? ●open Yes· $8.5K | $13.2K | $0 | $-4687 | 10 | $-17879 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? ●open Yes· $5.4K | $6.9K | $0 | $-1469 | 3 | $-8350 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? ●open Yes· $133 | $152 | $0 | $-19 | 3 | $-171 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? ● closed | $102.5K | $590.0K | — | 35 | +$487.5K |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? ● closed | $68.8K | $400.2K | — | 18 | +$331.4K |
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? ● closed | $73.8K | $0 | — | 74 | $-73768 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? ● closed | $86.5K | $23.0K | — | 46 | $-63508 |
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? ● closed | $27.8K | $0 | — | 34 | $-27757 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? ● closed | $25.8K | $9.9K | — | 27 | $-15926 |
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? ● closed | $20.7K | $5.8K | — | 13 | $-14900 |
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? ● closed | $14.2K | $0 | — | 13 | $-14213 |
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026? ● closed | $8.2K | $656 | — | 18 | $-7510 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? ● closed | $10.2K | $2.8K | — | 4 | $-7408 |
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? ● closed | $9.0K | $3.0K | — | 10 | $-6030 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? ● closed | $5.7K | $0 | — | 4 | $-5698 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? ● closed | $8.9K | $3.5K | — | 7 | $-5453 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? ● closed | $7.9K | $2.8K | — | 10 | $-5075 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? ● closed | $3.7K | $304 | — | 4 | $-3390 |
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? ● closed | $1.7K | $0 | — | 4 | $-1700 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? ● closed | $1.6K | $0 | — | 4 | $-1616 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? ● closed | $1.1K | $47 | — | 3 | $-1028 |
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31? ● closed | $978 | $0 | — | 2 | $-978 |
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28? ● closed | $327 | $0 | — | 21 | $-327 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31? ● closed | $929 | $1.1K | — | 10 | +$154 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Israel strikes Iran before 2026? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Recent Trades (11)
Trading Activity · 90d
3 active days
Category Accuracy
Geopolitics
$413.2K20%1/5
Entry Timing Before Resolution
1d–7d
3 betsunresolved0/0
>7d
3 betsunresolved0/0
Related Wallets · same markets (30d)