iridescentibex
0xad529df14c293d77984a0137990a1441b25211ac
$-2201
Real PnL
-6.1%
ROI
$209
Volume
$35.9K
Invested
100.0%
YES Bias
2
Trades (DB)
37/53
Markets Won
whale0Whale Activity ā large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24h
Open positions:39 marketsĀ·current value $7.9KĀ·39 closed
PnL by Market (78)39 open39 closed
ā open Yes Ā· $179in $5.9Kout $7.3Kunreal $-127
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
ā open Yes Ā· $656in $807out $58unreal $-140
Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026?
ā open No Ā· $802in $817unreal $-15
ā open Yes Ā· $394in $2.8Kout $2.1Kunreal $-6
ā open Yes Ā· $942in $2.7Kout $1.9Kunreal +$90
ā open Yes Ā· $167in $620out $277unreal $-56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
ā open Yes Ā· $300in $322unreal $-22
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
ā open Yes Ā· $1.2Kin $484out $767unreal +$49
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?
ā open Yes Ā· $211in $239unreal $-27
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
ā open Yes Ā· $224in $228unreal $-5
ā open Yes Ā· $61in $122unreal $-61
ā open Yes Ā· $9in $95unreal $-86
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
ā open Yes Ā· $11out $27unreal $-195
ā open Yes Ā· $31in $43unreal $-114
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
ā open Yes Ā· $206in $264out $85unreal +$24
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?
ā open No Ā· $142in $141unreal +$1
ā open Yes Ā· $63in $89unreal $-29
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
ā open Yes Ā· $353in $3out $0unreal +$111
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
ā open Yes Ā· $104in $107out $0unreal $-2
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?
ā open Yes Ā· $10in $56unreal $-46
ā open Yes Ā· $466in $1.1Kout $1.1Kunreal +$24
ā open Yes Ā· $51in $53unreal $-2
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?
ā open Yes Ā· $36in $53out $19unreal $-17
ā open Yes Ā· $27in $33unreal $-6
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
ā open Yes Ā· $6in $22unreal $-15
ā open Yes Ā· $57in $45unreal +$12
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
ā open Yes Ā· $474out $6unreal $-33
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?
ā open Yes Ā· $22in $24unreal $-2
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
ā open Yes Ā· $8in $17unreal $-9
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?
ā open Yes Ā· $19in $52out $36unreal $-9
ā open No Ā· $0in $11unreal $-11
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026?
ā open Yes Ā· $97in $0unreal $-20
US military draft authorized in 2026?
ā open Yes Ā· $87in $39out $39unreal +$18
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
ā open Yes Ā· $41out $30unreal $-19
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
ā open Yes Ā· $215in $12unreal +$22
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
ā open Yes Ā· $25out $1unreal +$4
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
ā open Yes Ā· $33out $0unreal +$4
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
ā open Yes Ā· $63out $3unreal $-6
ā open Yes Ā· $97out $178unreal $-177
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
ā closedin $171out $976
ā closedout $463
Iran leadership change by December 31?
ā closedout $334
ā closedin $467out $655
ā closedout $122
ā closedout $110
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?
ā closedin $110out $1
Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?
ā closedin $107
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
ā closedin $77
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
ā closedout $60
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?
ā closedin $107out $149
ā closedin $105out $146
Will Trump deport 200-300k people?
ā closedout $41
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
ā closedin $43out $83
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
ā closedout $35
Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?
ā closedout $27
ā closedin $11.4Kout $11.4K
ā closedin $371out $393
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
ā closedin $20
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?
ā closedin $15
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
ā closedout $14
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?
ā closedin $11
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?
ā closedin $312out $301
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
ā closedin $966out $976
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
ā closedout $7
Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?
ā closedout $5
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by March 31, 2026?
ā closedin $20out $16
Will France strike Iran by March 31?
ā closedin $1.0Kout $1.0K
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?
ā closedin $4
Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?
ā closedin $298out $300
Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?
ā closedin $775out $777
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?
ā closedout $1
ā closedin $370out $371
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
ā closedin $73out $73
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 31, 2026?
ā closedin $5out $5
ā closedin $1.2Kout $1.2K
ā closedin $538out $538
ā closedin $12out $12
ā closedin $50out $50
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? āopen YesĀ· $179 | $5.9K | $7.3K | $-127 | 141 | +$1.3K |
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026? āopen YesĀ· $656 | $807 | $58 | $-140 | 20 | $-889 |
Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026? āopen NoĀ· $802 | $817 | $0 | $-15 | 1 | $-832 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? āopen YesĀ· $394 | $2.8K | $2.1K | $-6 | 27 | $-734 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? āopen YesĀ· $942 | $2.7K | $1.9K | +$90 | 15 | $-715 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? āopen YesĀ· $167 | $620 | $277 | $-56 | 6 | $-399 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? āopen YesĀ· $300 | $322 | $0 | $-22 | 2 | $-344 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31? āopen YesĀ· $1.2K | $484 | $767 | +$49 | 3 | +$333 |
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026? āopen YesĀ· $211 | $239 | $0 | $-27 | 1 | $-266 |
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026? āopen YesĀ· $224 | $228 | $0 | $-5 | 4 | $-234 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? āopen YesĀ· $61 | $122 | $0 | $-61 | 1 | $-183 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? āopen YesĀ· $9 | $95 | $0 | $-86 | 1 | $-181 |
US strike on Mexico by March 31? āopen YesĀ· $11 | $0 | $27 | $-195 | 12 | $-168 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? āopen YesĀ· $31 | $43 | $0 | $-114 | 2 | $-157 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? āopen YesĀ· $206 | $264 | $85 | +$24 | 7 | $-154 |
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March? āopen NoĀ· $142 | $141 | $0 | +$1 | 1 | $-141 |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? āopen YesĀ· $63 | $89 | $0 | $-29 | 1 | $-118 |
Will US annex any territory in 2026? āopen YesĀ· $353 | $3 | $0 | +$111 | 4 | +$109 |
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? āopen YesĀ· $104 | $107 | $0 | $-2 | 2 | $-109 |
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026? āopen YesĀ· $10 | $56 | $0 | $-46 | 2 | $-102 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? āopen YesĀ· $466 | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$24 | 36 | +$79 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31? āopen YesĀ· $51 | $53 | $0 | $-2 | 1 | $-56 |
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30? āopen YesĀ· $36 | $53 | $19 | $-17 | 2 | $-51 |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2025ā2026 NBA MVP? āopen YesĀ· $27 | $33 | $0 | $-6 | 1 | $-39 |
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026? āopen YesĀ· $6 | $22 | $0 | $-15 | 2 | $-37 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? āopen YesĀ· $57 | $45 | $0 | +$12 | 3 | $-33 |
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30? āopen YesĀ· $474 | $0 | $6 | $-33 | 3 | $-28 |
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair? āopen YesĀ· $22 | $24 | $0 | $-2 | 1 | $-26 |
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31? āopen YesĀ· $8 | $17 | $0 | $-9 | 1 | $-26 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31? āopen YesĀ· $19 | $52 | $36 | $-9 | 8 | $-25 |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026? āopen NoĀ· $0 | $11 | $0 | $-11 | 1 | $-22 |
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? āopen YesĀ· $97 | $0 | $0 | $-20 | 1 | $-20 |
US military draft authorized in 2026? āopen YesĀ· $87 | $39 | $39 | +$18 | 7 | +$17 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? āopen YesĀ· $41 | $0 | $30 | $-19 | 5 | +$11 |
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? āopen YesĀ· $215 | $12 | $0 | +$22 | 3 | +$10 |
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? āopen YesĀ· $25 | $0 | $1 | +$4 | 1 | +$5 |
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? āopen YesĀ· $33 | $0 | $0 | +$4 | 1 | +$5 |
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? āopen YesĀ· $63 | $0 | $3 | $-6 | 4 | $-3 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? āopen YesĀ· $97 | $0 | $178 | $-177 | 1 | +$1 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? ā closed | $171 | $976 | ā | 18 | +$805 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? ā closed | $0 | $463 | ā | 4 | +$463 |
Iran leadership change by December 31? ā closed | $0 | $334 | ā | 1 | +$334 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? ā closed | $467 | $655 | ā | 12 | +$189 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? ā closed | $0 | $122 | ā | 1 | +$122 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026? ā closed | $0 | $110 | ā | 3 | +$110 |
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026? ā closed | $110 | $1 | ā | 2 | $-109 |
Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026? ā closed | $107 | $0 | ā | 1 | $-107 |
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? ā closed | $77 | $0 | ā | 4 | $-77 |
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31? ā closed | $0 | $60 | ā | 1 | +$60 |
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31? ā closed | $107 | $149 | ā | 5 | +$41 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? ā closed | $105 | $146 | ā | 3 | +$41 |
Will Trump deport 200-300k people? ā closed | $0 | $41 | ā | 1 | +$41 |
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026? ā closed | $43 | $83 | ā | 2 | +$39 |
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? ā closed | $0 | $35 | ā | 1 | +$35 |
Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3? ā closed | $0 | $27 | ā | 5 | +$27 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? ā closed | $11.4K | $11.4K | ā | 1 | +$23 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR? ā closed | $371 | $393 | ā | 27 | +$23 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? ā closed | $20 | $0 | ā | 1 | $-20 |
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m? ā closed | $15 | $0 | ā | 1 | $-15 |
US strike on Cuba by March 31? ā closed | $0 | $14 | ā | 2 | +$14 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day? ā closed | $11 | $0 | ā | 1 | $-11 |
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31? ā closed | $312 | $301 | ā | 2 | $-11 |
Will UK strike Iran by March 31? ā closed | $966 | $976 | ā | 2 | +$9 |
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? ā closed | $0 | $7 | ā | 2 | +$7 |
Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries? ā closed | $0 | $5 | ā | 1 | +$5 |
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by March 31, 2026? ā closed | $20 | $16 | ā | 2 | $-4 |
Will France strike Iran by March 31? ā closed | $1.0K | $1.0K | ā | 1 | +$4 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day? ā closed | $4 | $0 | ā | 1 | $-4 |
Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31? ā closed | $298 | $300 | ā | 1 | +$2 |
Will Canada strike Iran by March 31? ā closed | $775 | $777 | ā | 1 | +$2 |
Will Iran strike Turkey in March? ā closed | $0 | $1 | ā | 2 | +$1 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? ā closed | $370 | $371 | ā | 3 | +$0 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? ā closed | $73 | $73 | ā | 6 | +$0 |
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 31, 2026? ā closed | $5 | $5 | ā | 2 | +$0 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? ā closed | $1.2K | $1.2K | ā | 2 | +$0 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? ā closed | $538 | $538 | ā | 6 | +$0 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026? ā closed | $12 | $12 | ā | 2 | +$0 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? ā closed | $50 | $50 | ā | 4 | +$0 |
Recent Trades (20)
Trading Activity Ā· 90d
8 active days
Category Accuracy
Entry Timing Before Resolution
1dā7d
8 betsunresolved0/0
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