simplystupid188
0x682c92615993fd1f75cdfe101efdc1a8adcb17ae
+$41
Real PnL
+6.8%
ROI
$54
Volume
$606
Invested
100.0%
YES Bias
12
Trades (DB)
31/41
Markets Won
whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24h
Open positions:1 markets·current value $37·53 closed
PnL by Market (54)1 open53 closed
● open Yes · $37in $14unreal $-3
● closedout $45
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
● closedout $38
● closedin $16out $52
● closedout $32
● closedin $3out $34
● closedin $30
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
● closedin $26
● closedin $21
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
● closedin $21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
● closedin $29out $8
● closedin $20
● closedin $24out $6
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
● closedin $18
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
● closedout $18
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
● closedin $16out $34
● closedin $25out $8
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
● closedin $28out $11
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
● closedout $15
● closedin $12out $24
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
● closedin $11
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
● closedin $12out $2
● closedout $9
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
● closedin $9
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
● closedout $8
● closedin $77out $85
● closedin $12out $19
● closedin $8out $14
● closedin $6
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
● closedin $8out $14
● closedout $6
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
● closedin $11out $17
Iran leadership change by April 30?
● closedin $5
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
● closedout $5
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
● closedin $39out $36
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
● closedin $11out $14
● closedin $56out $53
● closedin $5out $2
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
● closedout $2
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
● closedin $2
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
● closedin $2out $4
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
● closedin $2out $4
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?
● closedin $1out $2
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
● closedin $1
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
● closedout $1
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?
● closedout $1
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
● closedin $1out $2
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
● closedin $5out $4
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
● closedout $1
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
● closedin $8out $9
Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?
● closedout $1
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?
● closedout $0
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
● closedin $1out $1
● closedin $10out $10
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? ●open Yes· $37 | $14 | $0 | $-3 | 10 | $-17 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? ● closed | $0 | $45 | — | 7 | +$45 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ● closed | $0 | $38 | — | 3 | +$38 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? ● closed | $16 | $52 | — | 13 | +$37 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? ● closed | $0 | $32 | — | 3 | +$32 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? ● closed | $3 | $34 | — | 9 | +$31 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? ● closed | $30 | $0 | — | 7 | $-30 |
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? ● closed | $26 | $0 | — | 8 | $-26 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? ● closed | $21 | $0 | — | 5 | $-21 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? ● closed | $21 | $0 | — | 5 | $-21 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? ● closed | $29 | $8 | — | 9 | $-20 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ● closed | $20 | $0 | — | 6 | $-20 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? ● closed | $24 | $6 | — | 8 | $-18 |
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? ● closed | $18 | $0 | — | 5 | $-18 |
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 ● closed | $0 | $18 | — | 3 | +$18 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ● closed | $16 | $34 | — | 21 | +$17 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ● closed | $25 | $8 | — | 15 | $-17 |
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? ● closed | $28 | $11 | — | 9 | $-16 |
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? ● closed | $0 | $15 | — | 3 | +$15 |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? ● closed | $12 | $24 | — | 22 | +$11 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ● closed | $11 | $0 | — | 2 | $-11 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? ● closed | $12 | $2 | — | 7 | $-10 |
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? ● closed | $0 | $9 | — | 3 | +$9 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ● closed | $9 | $0 | — | 4 | $-9 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? ● closed | $0 | $8 | — | 1 | +$8 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? ● closed | $77 | $85 | — | 38 | +$8 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? ● closed | $12 | $19 | — | 18 | +$7 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? ● closed | $8 | $14 | — | 3 | +$6 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? ● closed | $6 | $0 | — | 1 | $-6 |
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ● closed | $8 | $14 | — | 29 | +$6 |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ● closed | $0 | $6 | — | 6 | +$6 |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ● closed | $11 | $17 | — | 15 | +$5 |
Iran leadership change by April 30? ● closed | $5 | $0 | — | 1 | $-5 |
Will Trump visit China by June 30? ● closed | $0 | $5 | — | 3 | +$5 |
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? ● closed | $39 | $36 | — | 28 | $-3 |
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? ● closed | $11 | $14 | — | 9 | +$3 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ● closed | $56 | $53 | — | 80 | $-3 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ● closed | $5 | $2 | — | 9 | $-3 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? ● closed | $0 | $2 | — | 1 | +$2 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? ● closed | $2 | $0 | — | 2 | $-2 |
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? ● closed | $2 | $4 | — | 5 | +$2 |
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? ● closed | $2 | $4 | — | 8 | +$2 |
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? ● closed | $1 | $2 | — | 3 | +$1 |
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? ● closed | $1 | $0 | — | 8 | $-1 |
Will UK strike Iran by March 31? ● closed | $0 | $1 | — | 1 | +$1 |
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31? ● closed | $0 | $1 | — | 2 | +$1 |
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? ● closed | $1 | $2 | — | 10 | +$1 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? ● closed | $5 | $4 | — | 2 | $-1 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? ● closed | $0 | $1 | — | 3 | +$1 |
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? ● closed | $8 | $9 | — | 14 | +$1 |
Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31? ● closed | $0 | $1 | — | 1 | +$1 |
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 1 | +$0 |
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? ● closed | $1 | $1 | — | 8 | +$0 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? ● closed | $10 | $10 | — | 3 | $-0 |
Recent Trades (20)
Trading Activity · 90d
12 active days
Category Accuracy
Entry Timing Before Resolution
1d–7d
17 betsunresolved0/0
>7d
244 betsunresolved0/0
+224
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