ArmageddonRewardsBilly

0xc8ab97a9089a9ff7e6ef0688e6e591a066946418

$-7025

Real PnL

-19.9%

ROI

$712.6K

Volume

$35.3K

Invested

28.6%

YES Bias

Trades (DB)

44/46

Markets Won

whale41Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24h

Open positions:16 markets·current value $327.1K·103 closed

PnL by Market (119)16 open103 closed

Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils

$-8560

● open Connecticut Huskies · $13.0Kin $8.4Kunreal $-200

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

+$6.7K

● open No · $10.8Kout $6.5Kunreal +$188

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

$-5094

● open No · $48.5Kin $5.8Kunreal +$683

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

$-4640

● open No · $8.3Kin $4.7Kunreal +$50

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

+$2.8K

● open No · $91.9Kin $3.3Kunreal +$6.1K

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

$-2233

● open Yes · $2.5Kin $1.8Kunreal $-453

Iran leadership change by April 30?

$-1728

● open No · $4.0Kin $2.1Kout $321unreal +$50

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

+$1.5K

● open No · $34.4Kin $11unreal +$1.5K

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

$-1083

● open Yes · $6.1Kin $1.0Kunreal $-78

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

$-644

● open No · $30.2Kin $271unreal $-373

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?

+$406

● open No · $4.2Kout $166unreal +$240

Crude Oil all time high by March 31?

$-325

● open No · $52.2Kin $1.3Kunreal +$1.0K

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?

$-321

● open No · $4.3Kin $300unreal $-21

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

+$252

● open Yes · $4.2Kin $79unreal +$331

2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 40% by March 31?

+$137

● open No · $12.4Kin $157unreal +$294

Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?

$-125

● open No · $75in $100unreal $-25

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

+$3.1K

● closedout $3.1K

Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

+$1.3K

● closedout $1.3K

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

+$1.2K

● closedout $1.2K

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?

+$1.1K

● closedin $41out $1.1K

Israeli forces enter Beirut by March 31, 2026?

+$990

● closedout $990

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?

$-930

● closedin $930

Iran leadership change by May 31?

$-545

● closedin $545

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?

+$485

● closedout $485

US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?

+$432

● closedout $432

Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

+$410

● closedout $410

Will SpaceX file for an IPO by March 31, 2026?

+$403

● closedout $403

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

$-385

● closedin $385

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

+$377

● closedout $377

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?

$-358

● closedin $358

Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

+$316

● closedout $316

Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?

+$295

● closedout $295

Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

$-247

● closedin $247

Netanyahu out by June 30?

+$233

● closedout $233

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?

$-215

● closedin $215

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?

$-199

● closedin $199

Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by March 31?

$-196

● closedin $196

Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?

$-192

● closedin $192

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?

$-191

● closedin $191

Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

$-191

● closedin $191

Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?

$-190

● closedin $190

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30?

$-175

● closedin $175

Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?

+$174

● closedout $174

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

$-172

● closedin $172

Will Russia enter Borova by April 30?

$-172

● closedin $172

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

+$168

● closedout $168

Will Russia enter Havrylivka by April 30, 2026?

$-158

● closedin $158

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

+$146

● closedout $146

Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?

+$144

● closedout $144

Will Russia enter Shevchenko by April 30?

$-134

● closedin $134

Will Velichie (Velichie) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?

$-120

● closedin $120

Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

+$116

● closedout $116

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

$-113

● closedin $113

Will Trump say "Finish the Job" this week? (March 29)

$-97

● closedin $97

Will Bahrain strike Iran by April 30?

$-90

● closedin $90

Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?

+$83

● closedout $83

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

$-82

● closedin $82

Will Russia capture Kindrativka by March 31?

+$82

● closedout $82

Will Iran strike Poland by April 30, 2026?

$-76

● closedin $76

Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in March 2026?

+$75

● closedout $75

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

$-74

● closedin $74

Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?

+$66

● closedout $66

Military action against Iran ends by June 30, 2026?

$-65

● closedin $65

Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?

$-63

● closedin $63

Will India join the Board of Peace?

+$55

● closedout $55

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

$-53

● closedin $53

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

$-51

● closedin $51

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-08 House seat?

+$45

● closedout $45

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

$-43

● closedin $43

Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 3% on any day in Q1?

+$37

● closedout $37

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

$-36

● closedin $36

Will Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 29)

$-32

● closedin $32

Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

$-28

● closedin $28

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

$-27

● closedin $27

Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?

$-26

● closedin $26

Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?

$-21

● closedin $21

Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?

$-21

● closedin $21

Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

$-20

● closedin $20

Will Trump post "Nasty" on Truth Social this week?

$-19

● closedin $19

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

$-17

● closedin $17

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

+$16

● closedout $16

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?

$-16

● closedin $16

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?

+$15

● closedout $15

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?

$-15

● closedin $15

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

+$14

● closedout $14

Will 5–7 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?

+$14

● closedout $14

Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?

$-13

● closedin $20out $7

US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?

+$13

● closedout $13

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?

$-12

● closedin $12

Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?

$-10

● closedin $10

Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April 2026?

$-10

● closedin $10

Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?

$-9

● closedin $9

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026?

+$9

● closedout $9

Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

+$9

● closedout $9

Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?

+$8

● closedout $8

Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?

$-8

● closedin $8

Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

+$8

● closedout $8

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 3, 2026?

$-6

● closedin $6

Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by March 31, 2026?

+$5

● closedout $5

S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?

$-4

● closedin $4

Internet Access restored in Iran by March 31, 2026?

$-3

● closedin $3

Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?

$-3

● closedin $3

Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 29, 2026?

$-3

● closedin $3

Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?

$-3

● closedin $3

Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in March?

+$2

● closedout $2

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

$-2

● closedin $2

Will Russia capture Pokrovka by March 31?

+$2

● closedout $2

Military action against Iran ends by May 31, 2026?

$-1

● closedin $1

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

$-1

● closedin $1

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?

+$1

● closedout $1

Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?

$-1

● closedin $1

Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026?

$-1

● closedin $1

Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?

+$0

● closedout $0

Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?

+$0

● closedout $0

Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March?

$-0

● closedin $0

Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?

$-0

● closedin $0

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?

+$0

● closedout $0

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

+$0

● closedin $7out $7

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on March 27?

$-0

● closedin $0

Market	Invested	Received	Unrealized	Trades	PnL
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils ●open Connecticut Huskies· $13.0K	$8.4K	$0	$-200	216	$-8560
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? ●open No· $10.8K	$0	$6.5K	+$188	4	+$6.7K
Will Trump visit China by April 30? ●open No· $48.5K	$5.8K	$0	+$683	19	$-5094
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? ●open No· $8.3K	$4.7K	$0	+$50	2	$-4640
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? ●open No· $91.9K	$3.3K	$0	+$6.1K	6	+$2.8K
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? ●open Yes· $2.5K	$1.8K	$0	$-453	5	$-2233
Iran leadership change by April 30? ●open No· $4.0K	$2.1K	$321	+$50	4	$-1728
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? ●open No· $34.4K	$11	$0	+$1.5K	3	+$1.5K
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? ●open Yes· $6.1K	$1.0K	$0	$-78	9	$-1083
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? ●open No· $30.2K	$271	$0	$-373	4	$-644
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1? ●open No· $4.2K	$0	$166	+$240	1	+$406
Crude Oil all time high by March 31? ●open No· $52.2K	$1.3K	$0	+$1.0K	1	$-325
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30? ●open No· $4.3K	$300	$0	$-21	2	$-321
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? ●open Yes· $4.2K	$79	$0	+$331	1	+$252
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 40% by March 31? ●open No· $12.4K	$157	$0	+$294	1	+$137
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026? ●open No· $75	$100	$0	$-25	2	$-125
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? ● closed	$0	$3.1K	—	7	+$3.1K
Jimmy Lai released by June 30? ● closed	$0	$1.3K	—	2	+$1.3K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? ● closed	$0	$1.2K	—	2	+$1.2K
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30? ● closed	$41	$1.1K	—	6	+$1.1K
Israeli forces enter Beirut by March 31, 2026? ● closed	$0	$990	—	1	+$990
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1? ● closed	$930	$0	—	2	$-930
Iran leadership change by May 31? ● closed	$545	$0	—	3	$-545
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31? ● closed	$0	$485	—	1	+$485
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026? ● closed	$0	$432	—	8	+$432
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? ● closed	$0	$410	—	2	+$410
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by March 31, 2026? ● closed	$0	$403	—	1	+$403
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? ● closed	$385	$0	—	1	$-385
Iran coup attempt by June 30? ● closed	$0	$377	—	3	+$377
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027? ● closed	$358	$0	—	3	$-358
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? ● closed	$0	$316	—	1	+$316
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026? ● closed	$0	$295	—	1	+$295
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? ● closed	$247	$0	—	1	$-247
Netanyahu out by June 30? ● closed	$0	$233	—	3	+$233
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? ● closed	$215	$0	—	3	$-215
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30? ● closed	$199	$0	—	1	$-199
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by March 31? ● closed	$196	$0	—	1	$-196
Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31? ● closed	$192	$0	—	1	$-192
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31? ● closed	$191	$0	—	1	$-191
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? ● closed	$191	$0	—	1	$-191
Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026? ● closed	$190	$0	—	1	$-190
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? ● closed	$175	$0	—	5	$-175
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50? ● closed	$0	$174	—	1	+$174
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? ● closed	$172	$0	—	1	$-172
Will Russia enter Borova by April 30? ● closed	$172	$0	—	2	$-172
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? ● closed	$0	$168	—	1	+$168
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by April 30, 2026? ● closed	$158	$0	—	1	$-158
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? ● closed	$0	$146	—	2	+$146
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30? ● closed	$0	$144	—	1	+$144
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by April 30? ● closed	$134	$0	—	6	$-134
Will Velichie (Velichie) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? ● closed	$120	$0	—	1	$-120
Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? ● closed	$0	$116	—	15	+$116
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026? ● closed	$113	$0	—	3	$-113
Will Trump say "Finish the Job" this week? (March 29) ● closed	$97	$0	—	2	$-97
Will Bahrain strike Iran by April 30? ● closed	$90	$0	—	1	$-90
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026? ● closed	$0	$83	—	2	+$83
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? ● closed	$82	$0	—	1	$-82
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by March 31? ● closed	$0	$82	—	1	+$82
Will Iran strike Poland by April 30, 2026? ● closed	$76	$0	—	1	$-76
Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in March 2026? ● closed	$0	$75	—	1	+$75
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120? ● closed	$74	$0	—	3	$-74
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30? ● closed	$0	$66	—	2	+$66
Military action against Iran ends by June 30, 2026? ● closed	$65	$0	—	2	$-65
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026? ● closed	$63	$0	—	3	$-63
Will India join the Board of Peace? ● closed	$0	$55	—	1	+$55
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? ● closed	$53	$0	—	2	$-53
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 ● closed	$51	$0	—	2	$-51
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-08 House seat? ● closed	$0	$45	—	1	+$45
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? ● closed	$43	$0	—	1	$-43
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 3% on any day in Q1? ● closed	$0	$37	—	1	+$37
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? ● closed	$36	$0	—	8	$-36
Will Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 29) ● closed	$32	$0	—	4	$-32
Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? ● closed	$28	$0	—	2	$-28
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? ● closed	$27	$0	—	1	$-27
Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026? ● closed	$26	$0	—	1	$-26
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more? ● closed	$21	$0	—	1	$-21
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026? ● closed	$21	$0	—	1	$-21
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? ● closed	$20	$0	—	1	$-20
Will Trump post "Nasty" on Truth Social this week? ● closed	$19	$0	—	1	$-19
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? ● closed	$17	$0	—	5	$-17
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? ● closed	$0	$16	—	2	+$16
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? ● closed	$16	$0	—	1	$-16
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? ● closed	$0	$15	—	9	+$15
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30? ● closed	$15	$0	—	4	$-15
Cuban regime falls in 2026? ● closed	$0	$14	—	2	+$14
Will 5–7 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31? ● closed	$0	$14	—	1	+$14
Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026? ● closed	$20	$7	—	14	$-13
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? ● closed	$0	$13	—	1	+$13
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? ● closed	$12	$0	—	1	$-12
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026? ● closed	$10	$0	—	1	$-10
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April 2026? ● closed	$10	$0	—	1	$-10
Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026? ● closed	$9	$0	—	1	$-9
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026? ● closed	$0	$9	—	1	+$9
Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? ● closed	$0	$9	—	2	+$9
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1? ● closed	$0	$8	—	1	+$8
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? ● closed	$8	$0	—	1	$-8
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? ● closed	$0	$8	—	1	+$8
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 3, 2026? ● closed	$6	$0	—	1	$-6
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by March 31, 2026? ● closed	$0	$5	—	1	+$5
S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week? ● closed	$4	$0	—	1	$-4
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 31, 2026? ● closed	$3	$0	—	1	$-3
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026? ● closed	$3	$0	—	1	$-3
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 29, 2026? ● closed	$3	$0	—	1	$-3
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31? ● closed	$3	$0	—	2	$-3
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in March? ● closed	$0	$2	—	1	+$2
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? ● closed	$2	$0	—	1	$-2
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by March 31? ● closed	$0	$2	—	1	+$2
Military action against Iran ends by May 31, 2026? ● closed	$1	$0	—	1	$-1
Kurds declare independence from Iran? ● closed	$1	$0	—	1	$-1
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? ● closed	$0	$1	—	1	+$1
Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026? ● closed	$1	$0	—	1	$-1
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026? ● closed	$1	$0	—	2	$-1
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31? ● closed	$0	$0	—	1	+$0
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia? ● closed	$0	$0	—	1	+$0
Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March? ● closed	$0	$0	—	1	$-0
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026? ● closed	$0	$0	—	1	$-0
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31? ● closed	$0	$0	—	1	+$0
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day? ● closed	$7	$7	—	4	+$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on March 27? ● closed	$0	$0	—	2	$-0