AssuredAdverts
0xca765a4d03509c1dfed7a061b3fa632190d428b3
$-1153566
Real PnL
-148.4%
ROI
$50.8K
Volume
$777.1K
Invested
57.1%
YES Bias
7
Trades (DB)
13/13
Markets Won
whale43Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24h
Open positions:13 markets·current value $242.6K·11 closed
PnL by Market (24)13 open11 closed
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
● open No · $0in $237.8Kunreal $-569842
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
● open No · $0in $78.9Kunreal $-78882
● open Yes · $84.5Kin $91.1Kunreal $-6609
● open No · $64.9Kin $69.5Kunreal $-4626
● open Yes · $53.2Kin $58.0Kunreal $-4768
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
● open No · $0in $24.6Kunreal $-24569
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
● open No · $0in $24.0Kunreal $-24000
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
● open No · $39.2Kin $42.6Kunreal $-3448
● open Yes · $595out $25.4Kunreal +$91
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
● open No · $0in $7.4Kunreal $-7421
Will no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
● open Yes · $177out $10.0Kunreal $-2
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
● open No · $59out $4.6Kunreal +$10
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
● open Yes · $0unreal $-591
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
● closedin $123.9K
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
● closedout $62.0K
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
● closedout $49.9K
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
● closedout $49.8K
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
● closedout $49.8K
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
● closedout $28.0K
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
● closedin $2.8Kout $28.0K
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
● closedin $16.6Kout $35.0K
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
● closedout $3.7K
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?
● closedout $1.4K
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win 180 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
● closedout $472
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? ●open No· $0 | $237.8K | $0 | $-569842 | 8 | $-807639 |
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? ●open No· $0 | $78.9K | $0 | $-78882 | 5 | $-157765 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? ●open Yes· $84.5K | $91.1K | $0 | $-6609 | 80 | $-97697 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? ●open No· $64.9K | $69.5K | $0 | $-4626 | 18 | $-74110 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? ●open Yes· $53.2K | $58.0K | $0 | $-4768 | 232 | $-62769 |
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? ●open No· $0 | $24.6K | $0 | $-24569 | 1 | $-49138 |
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026? ●open No· $0 | $24.0K | $0 | $-24000 | 1 | $-48000 |
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? ●open No· $39.2K | $42.6K | $0 | $-3448 | 95 | $-46093 |
| Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? ●open Yes· $595 | $0 | $25.4K | +$91 | 3 | +$25.5K |
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026? ●open No· $0 | $7.4K | $0 | $-7421 | 8 | $-14842 |
Will no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026? ●open Yes· $177 | $0 | $10.0K | $-2 | 3 | +$10.0K |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31? ●open No· $59 | $0 | $4.6K | +$10 | 1 | +$4.6K |
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? ●open Yes· $0 | $0 | $0 | $-591 | 0 | $-591 |
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? ● closed | $123.9K | $0 | — | 2 | $-123883 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? ● closed | $0 | $62.0K | — | 8 | +$62.0K |
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? ● closed | $0 | $49.9K | — | 0 | +$49.9K |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $0 | $49.8K | — | 1 | +$49.8K |
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam? ● closed | $0 | $49.8K | — | 5 | +$49.8K |
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? ● closed | $0 | $28.0K | — | 0 | +$28.0K |
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? ● closed | $2.8K | $28.0K | — | 1 | +$25.2K |
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? ● closed | $16.6K | $35.0K | — | 1 | +$18.4K |
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? ● closed | $0 | $3.7K | — | 0 | +$3.7K |
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31? ● closed | $0 | $1.4K | — | 0 | +$1.4K |
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win 180 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? ● closed | $0 | $472 | — | 0 | +$472 |
Recent Trades (7)
Trading Activity · 90d
2 active days
Category Accuracy
Politics
$91.1K—0/0
Entry Timing Before Resolution
>7d
7 betsunresolved0/0
Related Wallets · same markets (30d)