Elias.Thornwell

0xa66790e2b0075e73c3781ddaf1d0b875a3aaceb3

$6.1M
Official volume · all time
5.1%
Observed YES share · 30d
59
Observed fills · 30d
$21.0K
Observed flow · 30d
whale0Wallet large-trade score — activity-size heuristic, not proof of skill
Recent Trades (20)
NO$181@ 92.2¢Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?about 9 hours ago
NO$2@ 13.0¢Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?about 9 hours ago
NO$396@ 98.6¢Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?about 9 hours ago
YES$6@ 59.0¢Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?about 9 hours ago
YES$10@ 85.8¢Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?about 9 hours ago
YES$13@ 81.1¢Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?about 9 hours ago
NO$4@ 73.0¢Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?about 9 hours ago
YES$23@ 60.0¢Fed rate hike in 2026?about 9 hours ago
NO$22@ 96.4¢Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?about 9 hours ago
NO$18@ 92.4¢Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?1 day ago
YES$476@ 55.0¢Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?1 day ago
NO$22@ 98.5¢Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?1 day ago
NO$2@ 13.0¢Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?1 day ago
YES$199@ 65.0¢Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?1 day ago
YES$37@ 59.0¢Fed rate hike in 2026?1 day ago
NO$7@ 99.9¢Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?2 days ago
NO$31@ 92.6¢Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?2 days ago
NO$7@ 99.9¢Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?2 days ago
NO$7@ 99.9¢Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?2 days ago
NO$7@ 99.9¢Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?2 days ago

Trading Activity · 90d

22 active days

Entry Timing Before Resolution
<6h
1 bets100%1/1
6h–1d
1 bets0%0/1
1d–7d
6 bets67%4/6
>7d
200 bets72%18/25
+180
Related Wallets · same markets (30d)
neutralwave2319 shared~ 42% same-$1.6Mw0Wallet large-trade score — activity-size heuristic, not proof of skill
0xe907…cff618 shared~ 68% same-$7.6Mw1Wallet large-trade score — activity-size heuristic, not proof of skill
0x9e3e…f88215 shared↑↑ 71% same-$1.2Mw1Wallet large-trade score — activity-size heuristic, not proof of skill
honduraslover13 shared~ 55% same-$72.8Kw0Wallet large-trade score — activity-size heuristic, not proof of skill
0x8b4b…541b11 shared↑↑ 100% same-$1.3Kw38Wallet large-trade score — activity-size heuristic, not proof of skill
StephenCurrry11 shared↑↓ 22% samew0Wallet large-trade score — activity-size heuristic, not proof of skill
0xfbd8…402711 shared↑↓ 9% same+$448.8Kw0Wallet large-trade score — activity-size heuristic, not proof of skill
Tenebrus711 shared↑↑ 82% same+$152.4Kw25Wallet large-trade score — activity-size heuristic, not proof of skill
Clais11 shared~ 46% same-$34.1Kw50Wallet large-trade score — activity-size heuristic, not proof of skill
0xa3af…b7a611 shared↑↑ 99% same+$1.5Kw0Wallet large-trade score — activity-size heuristic, not proof of skill