Sardinianshepherd
0xf42f4a4211d058cd109d503cf13f7bcdfc82a6a7
+$4.9K
Real PnL
+12.3%
ROI
$10.8K
Volume
$40.3K
Invested
0.0%
YES Bias
4
Trades (DB)
17/26
Markets Won
whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24h
Open positions:33 markets·current value $54.7K·19 closed
PnL by Market (52)33 open19 closed
● open No · $969in $930out $4.9Kunreal +$39
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
● open No · $2.6Kin $2.6Kunreal +$48
● open No · $10.6Kin $98unreal +$2.5K
● open No · $2.0Kin $3.6Kout $1.7Kunreal +$44
● open No · $9.6Kin $4.0Kout $5.0Kunreal +$324
● open Yes · $925in $1.2Kout $361unreal $-358
● open No · $705in $939unreal $-234
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
● open No · $923in $1.5Kout $568unreal $-38
● open No · $2.5Kin $985unreal +$196
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
● open No · $463in $450out $1.2Kunreal +$13
● open Yes · $665in $630unreal +$35
● open Yes · $44in $515out $257unreal $-260
● open No · $2.0Kin $172unreal +$653
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
● open Yes · $246in $243out $1unreal $-193
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
● open Yes · $274in $383out $33unreal $-82
● open No · $765in $385unreal $-35
● open Yes · $1.8Kin $709out $340unreal $-17
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 31, 2026?
● open No · $499in $383unreal +$9
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
● open No · $263out $337unreal +$33
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
● open No · $649in $372unreal +$27
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
● open No · $296in $294unreal +$2
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?
● open No · $1.0Kin $326unreal +$52
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
● open Yes · $63in $155unreal $-93
● open No · $0in $69out $210unreal $-364
Iran leadership change by December 31?
● open No · $1.5Kin $168unreal +$332
● open No · $4.9Kin $770unreal +$641
● open Yes · $626in $236out $186unreal $-43
Will Jorge Nieto finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
● open Yes · $39in $65unreal $-26
● open No · $5.6Kin $1.1Kunreal +$1.1K
● open No · $800in $190unreal +$120
● open Yes · $493in $875out $942unreal +$1
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
● open Yes · $158in $92unreal +$51
● open No · $590in $91unreal +$104
● closedin $14.8Kout $18.0K
● closedin $91out $1.8K
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
● closedout $1.4K
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
● closedout $860
● closedin $483out $1.3K
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 10–15%?
● closedout $637
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?
● closedin $45out $203
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
● closedout $150
Another US bank failure by March 31?
● closedin $23
● closedin $18
● closedout $18
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
● closedout $9
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
● closedin $7
● closedin $165out $160
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
● closedin $36out $38
Will Andrea Paccagnella win the 2026 Selvazzano Dentro by-election?
● closedin $0
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?
● closed
Will Powell say "Dissent" during October press conference?
● closed
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Thursday?
● closed
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? ●open No· $969 | $930 | $4.9K | +$39 | 4 | +$4.0K |
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? ●open No· $2.6K | $2.6K | $0 | +$48 | 5 | $-2546 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31? ●open No· $10.6K | $98 | $0 | +$2.5K | 1 | +$2.4K |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? ●open No· $2.0K | $3.6K | $1.7K | +$44 | 16 | $-1923 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? ●open No· $9.6K | $4.0K | $5.0K | +$324 | 14 | +$1.3K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? ●open Yes· $925 | $1.2K | $361 | $-358 | 14 | $-1224 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? ●open No· $705 | $939 | $0 | $-234 | 3 | $-1173 |
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? ●open No· $923 | $1.5K | $568 | $-38 | 43 | $-1004 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? ●open No· $2.5K | $985 | $0 | +$196 | 3 | $-789 |
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31? ●open No· $463 | $450 | $1.2K | +$13 | 3 | +$720 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? ●open Yes· $665 | $630 | $0 | +$35 | 1 | $-595 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? ●open Yes· $44 | $515 | $257 | $-260 | 10 | $-517 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? ●open No· $2.0K | $172 | $0 | +$653 | 1 | +$481 |
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? ●open Yes· $246 | $243 | $1 | $-193 | 36 | $-434 |
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? ●open Yes· $274 | $383 | $33 | $-82 | 16 | $-432 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? ●open No· $765 | $385 | $0 | $-35 | 1 | $-420 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? ●open Yes· $1.8K | $709 | $340 | $-17 | 4 | $-386 |
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 31, 2026? ●open No· $499 | $383 | $0 | +$9 | 4 | $-374 |
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? ●open No· $263 | $0 | $337 | +$33 | 1 | +$370 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? ●open No· $649 | $372 | $0 | +$27 | 1 | $-345 |
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31? ●open No· $296 | $294 | $0 | +$2 | 1 | $-292 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31? ●open No· $1.0K | $326 | $0 | +$52 | 3 | $-274 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? ●open Yes· $63 | $155 | $0 | $-93 | 1 | $-248 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? ●open No· $0 | $69 | $210 | $-364 | 18 | $-223 |
Iran leadership change by December 31? ●open No· $1.5K | $168 | $0 | +$332 | 1 | +$164 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? ●open No· $4.9K | $770 | $0 | +$641 | 3 | $-129 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? ●open Yes· $626 | $236 | $186 | $-43 | 2 | $-93 |
Will Jorge Nieto finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? ●open Yes· $39 | $65 | $0 | $-26 | 4 | $-91 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? ●open No· $5.6K | $1.1K | $0 | +$1.1K | 18 | +$75 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? ●open No· $800 | $190 | $0 | +$120 | 1 | $-70 |
| Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? ●open Yes· $493 | $875 | $942 | +$1 | 9 | +$67 |
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? ●open Yes· $158 | $92 | $0 | +$51 | 25 | $-41 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? ●open No· $590 | $91 | $0 | +$104 | 1 | +$13 |
| Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes? ● closed | $14.8K | $18.0K | — | 141 | +$3.2K |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? ● closed | $91 | $1.8K | — | 3 | +$1.7K |
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? ● closed | $0 | $1.4K | — | 3 | +$1.4K |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? ● closed | $0 | $860 | — | 3 | +$860 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections? ● closed | $483 | $1.3K | — | 29 | +$829 |
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 10–15%? ● closed | $0 | $637 | — | 1 | +$637 |
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%? ● closed | $45 | $203 | — | 16 | +$158 |
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? ● closed | $0 | $150 | — | 1 | +$150 |
Another US bank failure by March 31? ● closed | $23 | $0 | — | 1 | $-23 |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (March 29) ● closed | $18 | $0 | — | 2 | $-18 |
| Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election? ● closed | $0 | $18 | — | 1 | +$18 |
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? ● closed | $0 | $9 | — | 2 | +$9 |
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? ● closed | $7 | $0 | — | 1 | $-7 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? ● closed | $165 | $160 | — | 2 | $-5 |
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? ● closed | $36 | $38 | — | 2 | +$2 |
Will Andrea Paccagnella win the 2026 Selvazzano Dentro by-election? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 1 | $-0 |
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Powell say "Dissent" during October press conference? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Thursday? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Recent Trades (16)
Trading Activity · 90d
7 active days
Category Accuracy
Entry Timing Before Resolution
1d–7d
4 betsunresolved0/0
>7d
8 betsunresolved0/0
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