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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Geopolitics→Closes: about 1 monthLiquidity: $4.7M24h Vol: $42.9M
12.5¢
YES
87.5¢
NO
99.9¢
Spread
conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)
🏆 Biggest bet:YES$138.2K@ 100¢·debased

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO
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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.
1h+$0
6h+$0
24h+$0
Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢
$548.6K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
← now
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$40.5K

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Accumulation

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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
YES$138.2K@ 99.9¢
debased0x24c8…23e1
🐋-87.5%11 days ago
YES$10.6K@ 99.9¢
duderr0x8f7a…db40
🐋-87.5%11 days ago
YES$46.5K@ 99.9¢0x2785…70ae🐋-87.5%11 days ago
YES$45.0K@ 99.9¢0x2785…70ae🐋-87.5%11 days ago
YES$15.0K@ 99.9¢0x2785…70ae🐋-87.5%11 days ago
YES$13.4K@ 99.9¢0x4489…2452🐋-87.5%11 days ago
YES$35.2K@ 99.9¢
Arbguy0x53e5…6177
🐋-87.5%11 days ago
YES$10.9K@ 99.9¢0xc615…e982🐋-87.5%11 days ago
YES$24.0K@ 99.9¢0xd44e…67e2🐋-87.5%11 days ago
YES$30.0K@ 99.9¢0x7e5e…7315🐋-87.5%11 days ago
YES$40.4K@ 99.9¢
nickbrat0x49b3…6486
🐋-87.5%11 days ago

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💡 Smart Wallets · 7d
No smart wallet activity